Quién gana - 12 jun 2026 - Grupo D

Estados Unidos vs Paraguay: quién gana, probabilidad y riesgo

Última actualización: 21 jun 2026 | Solo entretenimiento, no consejo de apuestas

Respuesta rápida

La tendencia del modelo para Estados Unidos vs Paraguay es United States win (47%), marcador probable 1-1, goles esperados 2.14 y riesgo medio; marcador final 4-1.

Key Takeaway

La tendencia del modelo para Estados Unidos vs Paraguay es United States win (47%), marcador probable 1-1, goles esperados 2.14 y riesgo medio; marcador final 4-1.

Tendencia del modeloUnited States win 47%
Marcador previsto1-1
Goles esperados2.14
Nivel de riesgomedio
47%Estados Unidos gana
29%Empate
25%Paraguay gana
1.29 / 0.85xG
36%Más de 2.5 goles
42%BTTS

Estado post-partido

Estados Unidos vs Paraguay is completed with final score 4-1. This page keeps the pre-match model read and compares it with the forecast score 1-1.

Por qué mirar Estados Unidos vs Paraguay

Ventaja de probabilidad

The top model outcome is United States win at 47%; draw probability is 29%.

Tendencia de goles

Estados Unidos xG 1.29, Paraguay xG 0.85, total 2.14.

Riesgo

Current risk is medio, total-goal expectation is 2.14, and the read can move before lineups are confirmed.

The useful read is not a guaranteed score; it is the model's current lean toward United States win at 47%. The 1-1 scoreline represents the densest part of the goal distribution, while lineups, early goals, red cards and match tempo can change the live picture. Start with the probability gap, then the medio risk tag, then use lineup and goal context for a fuller view.

Confianza

Estado de datos y límites

Fuentes: schedule.csv, game_predictions.csv, Lista oficial FIFA: 48 teams / 1248 players.

Estado de cuotasCuotas justas del modelo; fuente oficial/de mercado pendiente
Estado de alineacionesAlineaciones y bajas se actualizan con fuentes oficiales
Tipo de pronósticoBacktest post-partido
Límite de usoSolo entretenimiento, no consejo de apuestas

Relacionado

Continue with related matches, teams and groups

These links connect the match read with team pages, group pages, the compare tool and data sources.

Team hub

Estados Unidos

Open Estados Unidos team prediction, lineup and fixture context.

Clasificación

Grupo D

Open Group D standings, qualification path and key matches.

Confianza

Fuentes de datos

Review public data, model estimates and pending-source status.

FAQ

Who is more likely to win Estados Unidos vs Paraguay?United States win

The model currently leans United States win at 47%, with projected score 1-1 and final score 4-1.

What is the Estados Unidos vs Paraguay score prediction?1-1

The model score is 1-1, expected total goals are 2.14, Over 2.5 is around 36%, and BTTS is around 42%.

Are the Estados Unidos vs Paraguay odds official?Cuotas justas del modelo; fuente oficial/de mercado pendiente

No. Current values are model fair odds; official/market live odds are pending and the page is entertainment reference only.