Completed reviews
Austria 3-1 Jordan Post-Match Analysis
Austria vs Jordan: quick verdict
Model prefers Austria at 55%, with a 2-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Austria leads Austria vs Jordan at 55%; full 90-minute split is Austria 55%, Draw 24%, Jordan 21%; likely score 2-1, total xG 2.66; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Austria 55% / Draw 24% / Jordan 21%
Who is more likely to winAustria 55%
Win probability55%
Predicted score2-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelMedium upset risk: result path can swing / Medium goal risk: leans 2-3 goals / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionAustria 55%, predicted score 2-1.
Post-match reviewActual 3-1. Direction hit. Score error 1; total-goals error 1.34. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.34.
Model hitHit
Score error1
Goal error1.34
Group impactGroup J
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.34.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 3-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 2-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 1.34 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 2.66 |
Actual Result
Austria and Jordan completed their Group J match on Jun 16, 2026. The final score was 3-1, producing Austria win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Austria win 55%, draw 24%, and Jordan win 21%. The highest-probability lean was Austria win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Austria 1.70 and Jordan 0.96, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.66 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 1.34.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Austria 3-1 Jordan is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Austria win, the actual result was Austria, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.66, leaving a 1.34 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanAustria win
Actual resultAustria
Score error1
Goal error1.34
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Austria 3-1 Jordan is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.34; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group J, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup J
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group J. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group J squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
AUT · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Austria
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Marko Arnautovic · FW · FK Crvena Zvezda (SRB) · 137 caps · 49 goals Marcel Sabitzer · MF · Borussia Dortmund (GER) · 102 caps · 27 goals David Alaba · DF · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 117 caps · 15 goals Michael Gregoritsch · FW · FC Augsburg (GER) · 78 caps · 24 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Alexander Schlager · GK · FC Red Bull Salzburg (AUT) · 30 caps · 0 goals David Alaba · DF · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 117 caps · 15 goals Stefan Posch · DF · 1. FSV Mainz 05 (GER) · 56 caps · 5 goals Philipp Lienhart · DF · SC Freiburg (GER) · 43 caps · 3 goals Kevin Danso · DF · Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) · 36 caps · 0 goals Marcel Sabitzer · MF · Borussia Dortmund (GER) · 102 caps · 27 goals Konrad Laimer · MF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 61 caps · 7 goals Xaver Schlager · MF · RB Leipzig (GER) · 55 caps · 4 goals Marko Arnautovic · FW · FK Crvena Zvezda (SRB) · 137 caps · 49 goals Michael Gregoritsch · FW · FC Augsburg (GER) · 78 caps · 24 goals Saša Kalajdžić · FW · LASK Linz (AUT) · 25 caps · 5 goals |
| Bench depth | Florian Grillitsch · MF · SC Braga (POR) · 61 caps · 1 goals Nicolas Seiwald · MF · RB Leipzig (GER) · 51 caps · 1 goals Alessandro Andre Schöpf · MF · Wolfsberger AC (AUT) · 35 caps · 6 goals Romano Schmid · MF · SV Werder Bremen (GER) · 38 caps · 4 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 11 / FW: 4 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
JOR · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Jordan
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Mousa Mohammad Mousa Suleiman · FW · Stade Rennais FC (FRA) · 95 caps · 25 goals Ali Iyad Ali Olwan · FW · Al Sailiya SC (QAT) · 69 caps · 30 goals Mahmoud Nayef Ahmad Almardi · FW · Al Hussein SC (JOR) · 90 caps · 8 goals Ehsan Manel Farhan Haddad · DF · Al Hussein SC (JOR) · 93 caps · 2 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Yazeed Mo'ien Hasan Abulaila · GK · Al Hussein SC (JOR) · 79 caps · 0 goals Ehsan Manel Farhan Haddad · DF · Al Hussein SC (JOR) · 93 caps · 2 goals Yazan Mousa Mahmoud Alarab · DF · FC Seoul (KOR) · 83 caps · 3 goals Abdallah Mousa Musallam Nasib · DF · Al Zawra'a SC (IRQ) · 68 caps · 2 goals Mohammad Ali Hasan Abuhasheesh · DF · Al Karma SC (IRQ) · 57 caps · 1 goals Noor Al-Deen Mahmoud Ali Al Rawabdeh · MF · Selangor FC (MAS) · 71 caps · 3 goals Raja'ei Ayed Fadel Hasan · MF · Al Hussein SC (JOR) · 73 caps · 0 goals Ibrahim Mohammad Sami Sa'deh · MF · Al Karma SC (IRQ) · 57 caps · 3 goals Mousa Mohammad Mousa Suleiman · FW · Stade Rennais FC (FRA) · 95 caps · 25 goals Ali Iyad Ali Olwan · FW · Al Sailiya SC (QAT) · 69 caps · 30 goals Mahmoud Nayef Ahmad Almardi · FW · Al Hussein SC (JOR) · 90 caps · 8 goals |
| Bench depth | Nizar Mahmoud Ahmed Al-rashdan · MF · Qatar SC (QAT) · 50 caps · 5 goals Mohammad Faisal Yousef Abu Zraiq · FW · Raja Casablanca (MAR) · 42 caps · 5 goals Mohannad Mahmoud Saleh Abu Taha · MF · Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya (IRQ) · 33 caps · 1 goals Sa'ed Ahmad Salameh Alrosan · DF · Al Hussein SC (JOR) · 22 caps · 2 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 8 / FW: 6 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Austria vs Jordan?3-1
The final score was 3-1, and the result is included in the Group J review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Austria win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?1
The predicted score was 2-1; score error across both teams was 1.
What was the total-goal error?1.34
Actual total goals were 4 versus an expectation of about 2.66, leaving a 1.34 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group J
It affects Group J points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.34.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.