Completed reviews
Austria 3-1 Jordan Post-Match Analysis
Key Takeaway
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.34.
Model hitHit
Score error1
Goal error1.34
Group impactGroup J
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.34.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 3-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 2-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 1.34 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 2.66 |
Actual Result
Austria and Jordan completed their Group J match on Jun 16, 2026. The final score was 3-1, producing Austria win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Austria win 55%, draw 24%, and Jordan win 21%. The highest-probability lean was Austria win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Austria 1.70 and Jordan 0.96, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.66 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 1.34.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Austria 3-1 Jordan is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Austria win, the actual result was Austria, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.66, leaving a 1.34 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanAustria win
Actual resultAustria
Score error1
Goal error1.34
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group J. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 18, 2026, 12:27 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Conclusion
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.34.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.