Completed reviews
Uruguay 2-2 Cape Verde Post-Match Analysis
Uruguay vs Cape Verde: quick verdict
Model prefers Uruguay at 72%, with a 2-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Uruguay leads Uruguay vs Cape Verde at 72%; full 90-minute split is Uruguay 72%, Draw 19%, Cape Verde 9%; likely score 2-1, total xG 2.47; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Uruguay 72% / Draw 19% / Cape Verde 9%
Who is more likely to winUruguay 72%
Win probability72%
Predicted score2-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelLow upset risk: model lean is clear / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionUruguay 72%, predicted score 2-1.
Post-match reviewActual 2-2. Direction missed. Score error 1; total-goals error 1.53. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 2-2. The model lean missed, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.53.
Model hitMiss
Score error1
Goal error1.53
Group impactGroup H
The final score was 2-2. The model lean missed, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.53.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 2-2 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 2-1 |
| Model direction | Miss |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 1.53 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 2.47 |
Actual Result
Uruguay and Cape Verde completed their Group H match on Jun 21, 2026. The final score was 2-2, producing a draw.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Uruguay win 72%, draw 19%, and Cape Verde win 9%. The highest-probability lean was Uruguay win, and the result call missed.
Expected goals were Uruguay 1.96 and Cape Verde 0.51, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.47 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 1.53.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Uruguay 2-2 Cape Verde is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Uruguay win, the actual result was draw, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.47, leaving a 1.53 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanUruguay win
Actual resultdraw
Score error1
Goal error1.53
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Uruguay 2-2 Cape Verde is mainly a result direction missed review. The projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.53; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group H, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction missed
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup H
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group H. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group H squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
URU · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Uruguay
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Nestor Fernando Muslera Micol · GK · Estudiantes LP (ARG) · 137 caps · 0 goals José María Giménez De Vargas · DF · Atlético De Madrid (ESP) · 99 caps · 8 goals Federico Santiago Valverde Dipetta · MF · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 76 caps · 9 goals Giorgian Daniel De Arrascaeta Benedetti · MF · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 59 caps · 13 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Nestor Fernando Muslera Micol · GK · Estudiantes LP (ARG) · 137 caps · 0 goals José María Giménez De Vargas · DF · Atlético De Madrid (ESP) · 99 caps · 8 goals Matías Nicolas Viña Susperreguy · DF · CA River Plate (ARG) · 44 caps · 1 goals Mathías Olivera Miramontes · DF · SSC Napoli (ITA) · 38 caps · 2 goals Ronald Federico Araújo Da Silva · DF · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 27 caps · 1 goals Federico Santiago Valverde Dipetta · MF · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 76 caps · 9 goals Giorgian Daniel De Arrascaeta Benedetti · MF · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 59 caps · 13 goals Rodrigo Bentancur Colmán · MF · Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) · 76 caps · 3 goals Darwin Gabriel Nuñez Ribeiro · FW · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 41 caps · 13 goals Paul Brian Rodríguez Bravo · FW · Club América (MEX) · 36 caps · 4 goals Facundo Pellistri Rebollo · FW · Panathinaikos FC (GRE) · 39 caps · 2 goals |
| Bench depth | Diego Nicolás De La Cruz Arcosa · MF · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 37 caps · 5 goals Maximiliano Javier Araújo Vilches · MF · Sporting CP (POR) · 31 caps · 5 goals Manuel Ugarte Ribeiro · MF · Manchester United FC (ENG) · 38 caps · 1 goals Sergio Ramón Rochet Alvarez · GK · SC Internacional (BRA) · 36 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 7 / MF: 11 / FW: 5 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
CPV · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Cape Verde
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Ryan Isaac Da Graca Mendes · FW · Iğdır FK (TUR) · 102 caps · 22 goals Josimar José Évora Dias · GK · GD Chaves (POR) · 94 caps · 0 goals Garry Mendes Rodrigues · MF · Apollon Limassol (CYP) · 63 caps · 10 goals Jamiro Gregory Monteiro Alvarenga · MF · PEC Zwolle (NED) · 59 caps · 5 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Josimar José Évora Dias · GK · GD Chaves (POR) · 94 caps · 0 goals Ianique Dos Santos Tavares · DF · SCU Torreense (POR) · 61 caps · 4 goals Roberto Carlos Lopes · DF · Shamrock Rovers FC (IRL) · 49 caps · 0 goals Edilson Alberto Monteiro Sanches Borges · DF · Al Bataeh Club (UAE) · 36 caps · 2 goals Logan Evans Costa · DF · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 28 caps · 0 goals Garry Mendes Rodrigues · MF · Apollon Limassol (CYP) · 63 caps · 10 goals Jamiro Gregory Monteiro Alvarenga · MF · PEC Zwolle (NED) · 59 caps · 5 goals Willy Johnson Semedo Afonso · MF · AC Omonia (CYP) · 41 caps · 3 goals Ryan Isaac Da Graca Mendes · FW · Iğdır FK (TUR) · 102 caps · 22 goals Dailon Rocha Livramento · FW · Casa Pia AC (POR) · 25 caps · 7 goals Gilson Benchimol Tavares · FW · FC Akron Tolyatti (RUS) · 23 caps · 6 goals |
| Bench depth | Kevin Lenini Gonçalves Pereira De Pina · MF · FC Krasnodar (RUS) · 35 caps · 4 goals João Paulo Moreira Fernandes · MF · FC FCSB (ROU) · 43 caps · 1 goals Jovane Eduardo Borges Cabral · MF · CF Estrela Da Amadora (POR) · 31 caps · 3 goals Deroy D'encarnação Duarte · MF · PFC Ludogorets Razgrad (BUL) · 37 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 12 / FW: 3 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Uruguay vs Cape Verde?2-2
The final score was 2-2, and the result is included in the Group H review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Miss
The pre-match lean was Uruguay win, and the result direction missed.
What was the score error?1
The predicted score was 2-1; score error across both teams was 1.
What was the total-goal error?1.53
Actual total goals were 4 versus an expectation of about 2.47, leaving a 1.53 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group H
It affects Group H points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 2-2. The model lean missed, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.53.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.