Completed reviews

Panama 0-1 Croatia Post-Match Analysis

Jun 23, 2026 · Group L · Completed-match forecast review

Panama vs Croatia: quick verdict

Model prefers Croatia at 68%, with a 1-2 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.

AI citation: Croatia leads Panama vs Croatia at 68%; full 90-minute split is Panama 12%, Draw 19%, Croatia 68%; likely score 1-2, total xG 2.80; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.

Panama 12% / Draw 19% / Croatia 68%
Who is more likely to winCroatia 68%
Win probability68%
Predicted score1-2Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelLow upset risk: model lean is clear / Medium goal risk: leans 2-3 goals / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionCroatia 68%, predicted score 1-2.
Post-match reviewActual 0-1. Direction hit. Score error 2; total-goals error 1.80. Group impact: review the linked standings path.

Key Takeaway

The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.80.

Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error1.80
Group impactGroup L

The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.80.

0-1Final score
Croatia winModel lean · 68%
1-2Predicted score

Post-Match Data Summary

Final score0-1
Pre-match predicted score1-2
Model directionHit
Score error2
Total-goal error1.80
Actual vs expected goals1 / 2.80

Actual Result

Panama and Croatia completed their Group L match on Jun 23, 2026. The final score was 0-1, producing Croatia win.

Pre-Match Forecast Review

The pre-match probabilities were Panama win 12%, draw 19%, and Croatia win 68%. The highest-probability lean was Croatia win, and the result call hit.

Expected goals were Panama 0.74 and Croatia 2.06, which rounded to a 1-2 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).

Goals Review

The model expected about 2.80 total goals, while the match produced 1. Total-goal error was 1.80.

Model Backtest Learning Notes

Panama 0-1 Croatia is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Croatia win, the actual result was Croatia, and the projected score was 1-2. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 1 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.80, leaving a 1.80 total-goal error.

Pre-match leanCroatia win
Actual resultCroatia
Score error2
Goal error1.80

Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact

Panama 0-1 Croatia is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.80; the match played tighter than the model expected. For Group L, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.

Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played tighter than the model expected
StageGroup L
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation

Group Impact

This match counts toward Group L. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.

Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability

This module uses the official FIFA Group L squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.

PAN · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

Panama

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersAnibal Casis Godoy Lemus · MF · San Diego FC (USA) · 160 caps · 4 goals
Alberto Abdiel Quintero Medina · MF · CD Plaza Amador (PAN) · 142 caps · 7 goals
Edgar Yoel Barcenas Herrera · MF · Mazatlán FC (MEX) · 107 caps · 10 goals
Eric Javier Davis Grajales · DF · CD Plaza Amador (PAN) · 109 caps · 9 goals
Likely XI candidatesLuis Ricardo Mejía Cajar · GK · Club Nacional (URU) · 56 caps · 0 goals
Eric Javier Davis Grajales · DF · CD Plaza Amador (PAN) · 109 caps · 9 goals
Michael Amir Murillo Bermudez · DF · Beşiktaş JK (TUR) · 96 caps · 9 goals
Fidel Escobar Mendieta · DF · Deportivo Saprissa (CRC) · 100 caps · 4 goals
Andres Alberto Andrade Cedeño · DF · LASK Linz (AUT) · 53 caps · 1 goals
Anibal Casis Godoy Lemus · MF · San Diego FC (USA) · 160 caps · 4 goals
Alberto Abdiel Quintero Medina · MF · CD Plaza Amador (PAN) · 142 caps · 7 goals
Edgar Yoel Barcenas Herrera · MF · Mazatlán FC (MEX) · 107 caps · 10 goals
Jose Fajardo Nelson · FW · CD Universidad Católica (ECU) · 72 caps · 17 goals
Cecilio Alfonso Waterman Ruiz · FW · CD Universidad De Concepción (CHI) · 57 caps · 15 goals
Tomas Abdiel Rodriguez Mena · FW · Deportivo Saprissa (CRC) · 15 caps · 4 goals
Bench depthIsmael Diaz De Leon · MF · Club León (MEX) · 58 caps · 17 goals
Jose Luis Rodriguez Francis · MF · FC Juárez (MEX) · 73 caps · 8 goals
Adalberto Eliecer Carrasquilla Alcazar · MF · Pumas UNAM (MEX) · 73 caps · 3 goals
Cristian Jesus Martinez · MF · Hapoel Kiryat Shmona FC (ISR) · 70 caps · 2 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 11 / MF: 8 / FW: 4
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

CRO · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

Croatia

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersLuka Modrić · MF · AC Milan (ITA) · 202 caps · 29 goals
Ivan Perišić · FW · PSV Eindhoven (NED) · 158 caps · 39 goals
Andrej Kramarić · FW · TSG Hoffenheim (GER) · 119 caps · 36 goals
Mateo Kovačić · MF · Manchester City FC (ENG) · 117 caps · 5 goals
Likely XI candidatesDominik Livaković · GK · GNK Dinamo Zagreb (CRO) · 79 caps · 0 goals
Joško Gvardiol · DF · Manchester City FC (ENG) · 52 caps · 4 goals
Duje Ćaleta-car · DF · Real Sociedad (ESP) · 38 caps · 1 goals
Josip Šutalo · DF · AFC Ajax (NED) · 37 caps · 0 goals
Josip Stanišić · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 35 caps · 0 goals
Luka Modrić · MF · AC Milan (ITA) · 202 caps · 29 goals
Mateo Kovačić · MF · Manchester City FC (ENG) · 117 caps · 5 goals
Mario Pašalić · MF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 89 caps · 12 goals
Ivan Perišić · FW · PSV Eindhoven (NED) · 158 caps · 39 goals
Andrej Kramarić · FW · TSG Hoffenheim (GER) · 119 caps · 36 goals
Ante Budimir · FW · CA Osasuna (ESP) · 41 caps · 7 goals
Bench depthNikola Vlašić · MF · Torino FC (ITA) · 66 caps · 11 goals
Martin Baturina · MF · Cómo (ITA) · 23 caps · 2 goals
Petar Sučić · MF · FC Internazionale Milano (ITA) · 21 caps · 2 goals
Luka Sučić · MF · Real Sociedad (ESP) · 22 caps · 1 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 9 / FW: 6
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

Trust & Transparency

Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only

Similar match paths

FAQ

What was the final score for Panama vs Croatia?0-1

The final score was 0-1, and the result is included in the Group L review.

Did the model hit the result direction?Hit

The pre-match lean was Croatia win, and the result direction hit.

What was the score error?2

The predicted score was 1-2; score error across both teams was 2.

What was the total-goal error?1.80

Actual total goals were 1 versus an expectation of about 2.80, leaving a 1.80 total-goal error.

How does this affect the group?Group L

It affects Group L points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.

Is this review betting advice?No

This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.

Conclusion

The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.80.

For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.