Completed reviews

South Africa 0-1 Canada Post-Match Analysis

Jun 28, 2026 · Knockout stage · Completed-match forecast review

South Africa vs Canada: quick verdict

Pre-match model probability is unavailable for this fixture, so this page is shown as a completed-match review using the final score 0-1. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.

AI citation: final score 0-1; pre-match probability and xG data were unavailable, so no win rate or predicted score is displayed.

Pre-match probability unavailable for South Africa vs Canada; review the final score and data status instead.
Who is more likely to winForecast unavailable
Win probabilityN/A
Predicted scoreN/AMost likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelForecast risk unavailable / lineup risk pending
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionPre-match win probability and xG were not available in the prediction file.
Post-match reviewActual 0-1. Direction N/A. Score error N/A; total-goals error N/A. Group impact: review the linked standings path.

Key Takeaway

The final score was 0-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 0-0, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.00.

Model hitMiss
Score error1
Goal error1.00
Stage impactKnockout stage

The final score was 0-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 0-0, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.00.

0-1Final score
South Africa winModel lean · 0%
0-0Predicted score

Post-Match Data Summary

Final score0-1
Pre-match predicted score0-0
Model directionMiss
Score error1
Total-goal error1.00
Actual vs expected goals1 / 0.00

Actual Result

South Africa and Canada completed their Knockout stage match on Jun 28, 2026. The final score was 0-1, producing Canada win.

Pre-Match Forecast Review

The pre-match probabilities were South Africa win 0%, draw 0%, and Canada win 0%. The highest-probability lean was South Africa win, and the result call missed.

Expected goals were South Africa 0.00 and Canada 0.00, which rounded to a 0-0 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).

Goals Review

The model expected about 0.00 total goals, while the match produced 1. Total-goal error was 1.00.

Model Backtest Learning Notes

South Africa 0-1 Canada is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was South Africa win, the actual result was Canada, and the projected score was 0-0. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 1 versus a pre-match expectation of about 0.00, leaving a 1.00 total-goal error.

Pre-match leanSouth Africa win
Actual resultCanada
Score error1
Goal error1.00

Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact

South Africa 0-1 Canada is mainly a result direction missed review. The projected score was 0-0, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.00; the match played more open than the model expected. For the knockout-stage path, the result changes advancement context, rotation pressure and related fixture reads.

Result directionresult direction missed
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageKnockout stage
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation

Tournament Stage Impact

This match belongs to the knockout-stage or tournament-stage review path. Read it alongside advancement context, rotation pressure, lineup availability and related fixtures.

Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability

This module uses the official FIFA squad list for the tournament-stage context: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.

RSA · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

South Africa

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersThemba Zwane · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 56 caps · 12 goals
Teboho Mokoena · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 60 caps · 10 goals
Ronwen Hayden Williams · GK · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 68 caps · 0 goals
Lyle Brent Foster · FW · Burnley FC (ENG) · 32 caps · 10 goals
Likely XI candidatesRonwen Hayden Williams · GK · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 68 caps · 0 goals
Aubrey Maphosa Modiba · DF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 52 caps · 3 goals
Khuliso Johnson Mudau · DF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 38 caps · 1 goals
Nkosinathi Emmanuel Sibisi · DF · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 22 caps · 0 goals
Mbekezeli Mfanukile Mbokazi · DF · Chicago Fire FC (USA) · 14 caps · 1 goals
Themba Zwane · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 56 caps · 12 goals
Teboho Mokoena · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 60 caps · 10 goals
Sphephelo S'miso Sithole · MF · CD Tondela (POR) · 32 caps · 1 goals
Lyle Brent Foster · FW · Burnley FC (ENG) · 32 caps · 10 goals
Oswin Reagan Appollis · FW · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 31 caps · 8 goals
Sekotori Evidence Makgopa · FW · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 31 caps · 6 goals
Bench depthIqraam Rayners · FW · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 24 caps · 5 goals
Thalente Wandile Mbatha · MF · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 20 caps · 3 goals
Relebohile Mofokeng · FW · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 17 caps · 1 goals
Thapelo Maseko · FW · AEL Limassol (CYP) · 11 caps · 2 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 10 / MF: 5 / FW: 8
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

CAN · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

Canada

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersJonathan Christian David · FW · Juventus FC (ITA) · 82 caps · 42 goals
Cyle Christopher Larin · FW · Southampton FC (ENG) · 94 caps · 32 goals
Jonathan Osorio · MF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 93 caps · 10 goals
Alphonso Boyle Davies · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 59 caps · 15 goals
Likely XI candidatesMaxime Crépeau · GK · Orlando City SC (USA) · 37 caps · 0 goals
Alphonso Boyle Davies · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 59 caps · 15 goals
Richmond Mamah Laryea · DF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 81 caps · 1 goals
Alistair William Johnston · DF · Celtic FC (SCO) · 63 caps · 1 goals
Derek Austin Cornelius · DF · Rangers FC (SCO) · 48 caps · 1 goals
Jonathan Osorio · MF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 93 caps · 10 goals
Stephen Eustaquio · MF · LAFC (USA) · 61 caps · 5 goals
Ismaël Kenneth Jordan Kone · MF · US Sassuolo (ITA) · 42 caps · 4 goals
Jonathan Christian David · FW · Juventus FC (ITA) · 82 caps · 42 goals
Cyle Christopher Larin · FW · Southampton FC (ENG) · 94 caps · 32 goals
Tajon Trevor Buchanan · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 65 caps · 8 goals
Bench depthJacob Everett Shaffelburg · MF · LAFC (USA) · 36 caps · 6 goals
Liam Alan Millar · MF · Hull City FC (ENG) · 44 caps · 1 goals
Tanitoluwa Oluwatimilehin Oluwaseyi · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 29 caps · 2 goals
Ali Ahmed · FW · Norwich City FC (ENG) · 28 caps · 1 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 7 / FW: 7
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

Trust & Transparency

Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only

Similar match paths

FAQ

What was the final score for South Africa vs Canada?0-1

The final score was 0-1, and the result is included in the Knockout stage review.

Did the model hit the result direction?Miss

The pre-match lean was South Africa win, and the result direction missed.

What was the score error?1

The predicted score was 0-0; score error across both teams was 1.

What was the total-goal error?1.00

Actual total goals were 1 versus an expectation of about 0.00, leaving a 1.00 total-goal error.

How does this affect the group?Knockout stage

It affects the knockout-stage path, advancement context, rotation pressure and related fixture reads.

Is this review betting advice?No

This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.

Conclusion

The final score was 0-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 0-0, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.00.

For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.