Completed reviews
South Africa 0-1 Canada Post-Match Analysis
South Africa vs Canada: quick verdict
Pre-match model probability is unavailable for this fixture, so this page is shown as a completed-match review using the final score 0-1. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: final score 0-1; pre-match probability and xG data were unavailable, so no win rate or predicted score is displayed.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 0-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 0-0, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.00.
The final score was 0-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 0-0, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.00.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 0-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 0-0 |
| Model direction | Miss |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 1.00 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 1 / 0.00 |
Actual Result
South Africa and Canada completed their Knockout stage match on Jun 28, 2026. The final score was 0-1, producing Canada win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were South Africa win 0%, draw 0%, and Canada win 0%. The highest-probability lean was South Africa win, and the result call missed.
Expected goals were South Africa 0.00 and Canada 0.00, which rounded to a 0-0 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 0.00 total goals, while the match produced 1. Total-goal error was 1.00.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
South Africa 0-1 Canada is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was South Africa win, the actual result was Canada, and the projected score was 0-0. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 1 versus a pre-match expectation of about 0.00, leaving a 1.00 total-goal error.
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
South Africa 0-1 Canada is mainly a result direction missed review. The projected score was 0-0, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.00; the match played more open than the model expected. For the knockout-stage path, the result changes advancement context, rotation pressure and related fixture reads.
Tournament Stage Impact
This match belongs to the knockout-stage or tournament-stage review path. Read it alongside advancement context, rotation pressure, lineup availability and related fixtures.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA squad list for the tournament-stage context: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
RSA · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
South Africa
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
| Key players | Themba Zwane · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 56 caps · 12 goals Teboho Mokoena · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 60 caps · 10 goals Ronwen Hayden Williams · GK · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 68 caps · 0 goals Lyle Brent Foster · FW · Burnley FC (ENG) · 32 caps · 10 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Ronwen Hayden Williams · GK · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 68 caps · 0 goals Aubrey Maphosa Modiba · DF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 52 caps · 3 goals Khuliso Johnson Mudau · DF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 38 caps · 1 goals Nkosinathi Emmanuel Sibisi · DF · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 22 caps · 0 goals Mbekezeli Mfanukile Mbokazi · DF · Chicago Fire FC (USA) · 14 caps · 1 goals Themba Zwane · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 56 caps · 12 goals Teboho Mokoena · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 60 caps · 10 goals Sphephelo S'miso Sithole · MF · CD Tondela (POR) · 32 caps · 1 goals Lyle Brent Foster · FW · Burnley FC (ENG) · 32 caps · 10 goals Oswin Reagan Appollis · FW · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 31 caps · 8 goals Sekotori Evidence Makgopa · FW · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 31 caps · 6 goals |
| Bench depth | Iqraam Rayners · FW · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 24 caps · 5 goals Thalente Wandile Mbatha · MF · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 20 caps · 3 goals Relebohile Mofokeng · FW · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 17 caps · 1 goals Thapelo Maseko · FW · AEL Limassol (CYP) · 11 caps · 2 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 10 / MF: 5 / FW: 8 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
CAN · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Canada
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
| Key players | Jonathan Christian David · FW · Juventus FC (ITA) · 82 caps · 42 goals Cyle Christopher Larin · FW · Southampton FC (ENG) · 94 caps · 32 goals Jonathan Osorio · MF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 93 caps · 10 goals Alphonso Boyle Davies · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 59 caps · 15 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Maxime Crépeau · GK · Orlando City SC (USA) · 37 caps · 0 goals Alphonso Boyle Davies · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 59 caps · 15 goals Richmond Mamah Laryea · DF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 81 caps · 1 goals Alistair William Johnston · DF · Celtic FC (SCO) · 63 caps · 1 goals Derek Austin Cornelius · DF · Rangers FC (SCO) · 48 caps · 1 goals Jonathan Osorio · MF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 93 caps · 10 goals Stephen Eustaquio · MF · LAFC (USA) · 61 caps · 5 goals Ismaël Kenneth Jordan Kone · MF · US Sassuolo (ITA) · 42 caps · 4 goals Jonathan Christian David · FW · Juventus FC (ITA) · 82 caps · 42 goals Cyle Christopher Larin · FW · Southampton FC (ENG) · 94 caps · 32 goals Tajon Trevor Buchanan · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 65 caps · 8 goals |
| Bench depth | Jacob Everett Shaffelburg · MF · LAFC (USA) · 36 caps · 6 goals Liam Alan Millar · MF · Hull City FC (ENG) · 44 caps · 1 goals Tanitoluwa Oluwatimilehin Oluwaseyi · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 29 caps · 2 goals Ali Ahmed · FW · Norwich City FC (ENG) · 28 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 7 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Similar match paths
FAQ
The final score was 0-1, and the result is included in the Knockout stage review.
The pre-match lean was South Africa win, and the result direction missed.
The predicted score was 0-0; score error across both teams was 1.
Actual total goals were 1 versus an expectation of about 0.00, leaving a 1.00 total-goal error.
It affects the knockout-stage path, advancement context, rotation pressure and related fixture reads.
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 0-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 0-0, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.00.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.