Winner Prediction - Jun 13, 2026 - Group C

Haiti vs Scotland: Who Will Win? Probability and Risk

Last updated: Jul 19, 2026 | Entertainment only, not betting advice

AI citation

The model lean for Haiti vs Scotland is Scotland win (59%), the most likely score is 1-2, expected total goals are 3.02, and risk is medium; final score 0-1.

Key Takeaway

The model lean for Haiti vs Scotland is Scotland win (59%), the most likely score is 1-2, expected total goals are 3.02, and risk is medium; final score 0-1.

Model leanScotland win 59%
Predicted score1-2
Expected total goals3.02
Risk levelmedium
20%Haiti win
22%Draw
59%Scotland win
1.05 / 1.97xG
58%Over 2.5 goals
56%BTTS

Post-Match Review Status

Haiti vs Scotland is completed with final score 0-1. This page keeps the pre-match model read and compares it with the forecast score 1-2.

Why Haiti vs Scotland leans this way

Probability edge

The top model outcome is Scotland win at 59%; draw probability is 22%.

Goal tendency

Haiti xG 1.05, Scotland xG 1.97, total 3.02.

Risk read

Current risk is medium, total-goal expectation is 3.02, and the read can move before lineups are confirmed.

The useful read is not a guaranteed score; it is the model's current lean toward Scotland win at 59%. The 1-2 scoreline represents the densest part of the goal distribution, while lineups, early goals, red cards and match tempo can change the live picture. Start with the probability gap, then the medium risk tag, then use lineup and goal context for a fuller view.

Trust

Data Status and Use Boundary

Sources: schedule.csv, game_predictions.csv, Official FIFA squad list: 48 teams / 1248 players.

Odds statusMarket odds cache when matched; official Sporttery pending; model fair odds for comparison
Lineup statusLikely XI and availability update when official sources confirm
Forecast typePost-match model backtest
Use boundaryEntertainment only, not betting advice

Related Links

Continue with related matches, teams and groups

These links connect the match read with team pages, group pages, the compare tool and data sources.

Team hub

Haiti

Open Haiti team prediction, lineup and fixture context.

Group standings

Group C

Open Group C standings, qualification path and key matches.

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Data Sources

Review public data, model estimates and pending-source status.

FAQ

Who is more likely to win Haiti vs Scotland?Scotland win

The model currently leans Scotland win at 59%, with projected score 1-2 and final score 0-1.

What is the Haiti vs Scotland score prediction?1-2

The model score is 1-2, expected total goals are 3.02, Over 2.5 is around 58%, and BTTS is around 56%.

Are the Haiti vs Scotland odds official?Market odds cache when matched; official Sporttery pending; model fair odds for comparison

They are not official lottery odds. The page shows public market reference odds when the site cache matches; official Sporttery stays pending, and model fair odds are only probability comparisons.

Is there upset risk in Haiti vs Scotland?medium

Upset risk is medium. The top model lean is Scotland win at 59%, but lineups, an early goal and match tempo can still change the read.

How is Haiti vs Scotland reviewed after the match?0-1

The review compares final score 0-1 with predicted score 1-2, model direction, score error, goal error and group impact.