Fair Odds - Jun 17, 2026 - Group L

England vs Croatia: Model Fair Odds and Goal Markets

Last updated: Jun 21, 2026 | Entertainment only, not betting advice

Quick Answer

The model lean for England vs Croatia is England win (50%), the most likely score is 1-1, expected total goals are 2.27, and risk is medium.

Key Takeaway

The model lean for England vs Croatia is England win (50%), the most likely score is 1-1, expected total goals are 2.27, and risk is medium.

Model leanEngland win 50%

Predicted score1-1

Expected total goals2.27

Risk levelmedium

50%England win

27%Draw

23%Croatia win

1.41 / 0.87xG

40%Over 2.5 goals

44%BTTS

England vs Croatia model fair odds

Current values are model fair odds. Official/market live odds are pending. Entertainment reference only, not betting advice.

England vs Croatia 1X2 values are converted from model probabilities and do not represent official or market odds. The current lean is England win 50%, Over 2.5 is 40%, and BTTS is 44%. Once official or market sources are connected, this module will show source status and refresh time.

Market	Model probability	Fair odds
England win	50%	2.02
Draw	27%	3.67
Croatia win	23%	4.30
Over 2.5 goals	40%	2.52
BTTS	44%	2.28

Trust

Data Status and Use Boundary

Sources: schedule.csv, game_predictions.csv, Official FIFA squad list: 48 teams / 1248 players.

Odds statusModel fair odds; official/market live source pending

Lineup statusLikely XI and availability update when official sources confirm

Forecast typePre-match model forecast

Use boundaryEntertainment only, not betting advice

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Model lean

England vs Croatia

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FAQ

Who is more likely to win England vs Croatia?England win

The model currently leans England win at 50%, with projected score 1-1.

What is the England vs Croatia score prediction?1-1

The model score is 1-1, expected total goals are 2.27, Over 2.5 is around 40%, and BTTS is around 44%.

Are the England vs Croatia odds official?Model fair odds; official/market live source pending

No. Current values are model fair odds; official/market live odds are pending and the page is entertainment reference only.