Score and xG - Jun 26, 2026 - Group H

Uruguay vs Spain: AI Score Prediction and xG Analysis

Last updated: Jul 19, 2026 | Entertainment only, not betting advice

AI citation

The model lean for Uruguay vs Spain is Spain win (53%), the most likely score is 1-2, expected total goals are 2.42, and risk is medium; final score 0-1.

Key Takeaway

The model lean for Uruguay vs Spain is Spain win (53%), the most likely score is 1-2, expected total goals are 2.42, and risk is medium; final score 0-1.

Model leanSpain win 53%
Predicted score1-2
Expected total goals2.42
Risk levelmedium
22%Uruguay win
26%Draw
53%Spain win
0.88 / 1.54xG
44%Over 2.5 goals
46%BTTS

Post-Match Review Status

Uruguay vs Spain is completed with final score 0-1. This page keeps the pre-match model read and compares it with the forecast score 1-2.

Uruguay vs Spain score and goal read

The most likely score is 1-2. Uruguay xG is 0.88, Spain xG is 1.54, total 2.42. Over 2.5 sits near 44%, while BTTS is around 46%. These are model distribution reads, not guaranteed outcomes, and are best used to understand match tempo before kickoff.

Uruguay xG0.88
Spain xG1.54
Predicted score1-2
Over 2.5 goals44%
BTTS46%

Trust

Data Status and Use Boundary

Sources: schedule.csv, game_predictions.csv, Official FIFA squad list: 48 teams / 1248 players.

Odds statusMarket odds cache when matched; official Sporttery pending; model fair odds for comparison
Lineup statusLikely XI and availability update when official sources confirm
Forecast typePost-match model backtest
Use boundaryEntertainment only, not betting advice

Related Links

Continue with related matches, teams and groups

These links connect the match read with team pages, group pages, the compare tool and data sources.

Team hub

Uruguay

Open Uruguay team prediction, lineup and fixture context.

Group standings

Group H

Open Group H standings, qualification path and key matches.

Trust

Data Sources

Review public data, model estimates and pending-source status.

FAQ

Who is more likely to win Uruguay vs Spain?Spain win

The model currently leans Spain win at 53%, with projected score 1-2 and final score 0-1.

What is the Uruguay vs Spain score prediction?1-2

The model score is 1-2, expected total goals are 2.42, Over 2.5 is around 44%, and BTTS is around 46%.

Are the Uruguay vs Spain odds official?Market odds cache when matched; official Sporttery pending; model fair odds for comparison

They are not official lottery odds. The page shows public market reference odds when the site cache matches; official Sporttery stays pending, and model fair odds are only probability comparisons.

Does Uruguay vs Spain lean high scoring?2.42 Expected total goals

The most likely score is 1-2, expected goals are 2.42, Over 2.5 is around 44%, and BTTS is around 46%; use it as tempo context, not a fixed result.

How is Uruguay vs Spain reviewed after the match?0-1

The review compares final score 0-1 with predicted score 1-2, model direction, score error, goal error and group impact.