Completed reviews
Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador Post-Match Analysis
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-0. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.86.
Model hitMiss
Score error1
Goal error0.86
Group impactGroup E
The final score was 1-0. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.86.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-0 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Miss |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 0.86 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 1 / 1.86 |
Actual Result
Ivory Coast and Ecuador completed their Group E match on Jun 14, 2026. The final score was 1-0, producing Ivory Coast win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Ivory Coast win 23%, draw 31%, and Ecuador win 46%. The highest-probability lean was Ecuador win, and the result call missed.
Expected goals were Ivory Coast 0.72 and Ecuador 1.14, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 1.86 total goals, while the match produced 1. Total-goal error was 0.86.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Ecuador win, the actual result was Ivory Coast, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 1 versus a pre-match expectation of about 1.86, leaving a 0.86 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanEcuador win
Actual resultIvory Coast
Score error1
Goal error0.86
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group E. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 18, 2026, 12:27 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Conclusion
The final score was 1-0. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.86.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.