Completed reviews
Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador Post-Match Analysis
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador: quick verdict
Model prefers Ecuador at 46%, with a 1-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Ecuador leads Ivory Coast vs Ecuador at 46%; full 90-minute split is Ivory Coast 23%, Draw 31%, Ecuador 46%; likely score 1-1, total xG 1.86; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Ivory Coast 23% / Draw 31% / Ecuador 46%
Who is more likely to winEcuador 46%
Win probability46%
Predicted score1-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelMedium upset risk: result path can swing / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionEcuador 46%, predicted score 1-1.
Post-match reviewActual 1-0. Direction missed. Score error 1; total-goals error 0.86. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-0. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.86.
Model hitMiss
Score error1
Goal error0.86
Group impactGroup E
The final score was 1-0. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.86.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-0 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Miss |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 0.86 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 1 / 1.86 |
Actual Result
Ivory Coast and Ecuador completed their Group E match on Jun 14, 2026. The final score was 1-0, producing Ivory Coast win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Ivory Coast win 23%, draw 31%, and Ecuador win 46%. The highest-probability lean was Ecuador win, and the result call missed.
Expected goals were Ivory Coast 0.72 and Ecuador 1.14, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 1.86 total goals, while the match produced 1. Total-goal error was 0.86.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Ecuador win, the actual result was Ivory Coast, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 1 versus a pre-match expectation of about 1.86, leaving a 0.86 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanEcuador win
Actual resultIvory Coast
Score error1
Goal error0.86
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador is mainly a result direction missed review. The projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.86; the match played tighter than the model expected. For Group E, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction missed
Goal tempothe match played tighter than the model expected
StageGroup E
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group E. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group E squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
CIV · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Ivory Coast
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Franck Yannick Kessie · MF · Al Ahli FC (KSA) · 108 caps · 16 goals Nicolas Pepe · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 60 caps · 14 goals Ibrahim Sangare · MF · Nottingham Forest FC (ENG) · 59 caps · 11 goals Jean Michael Seri · MF · NK Maribor (SVN) · 66 caps · 4 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Yahia Fofana · GK · Çaykur Rizespor (TUR) · 40 caps · 0 goals N'clomande Ghislain Konan · DF · Gil Vicente FC (POR) · 57 caps · 0 goals Wilfried Stephane Singo · DF · Galatasaray SK (TUR) · 37 caps · 1 goals Kouakou Odilon Dorgeless Kossounou · DF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 40 caps · 0 goals Guela Maho-Lewis Doue · DF · RC Strasbourg (FRA) · 24 caps · 3 goals Franck Yannick Kessie · MF · Al Ahli FC (KSA) · 108 caps · 16 goals Ibrahim Sangare · MF · Nottingham Forest FC (ENG) · 59 caps · 11 goals Jean Michael Seri · MF · NK Maribor (SVN) · 66 caps · 4 goals Nicolas Pepe · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 60 caps · 14 goals Oumar Diakite · FW · Cercle Brugge (BEL) · 31 caps · 6 goals Amad Diallo · FW · Manchester United FC (ENG) · 23 caps · 8 goals |
| Bench depth | Seko Mohamed Fofana · MF · FC Porto (POR) · 34 caps · 7 goals Simon Adingra · FW · AS Monaco (FRA) · 30 caps · 5 goals Evann Ludovic Vidjannagni Guessand · FW · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 23 caps · 4 goals Badobre Emmanuel Elysee Djedje Agbadou · DF · Beşiktaş JK (TUR) · 24 caps · 2 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 6 / FW: 9 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
ECU · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Ecuador
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Enner Remberto Valencia Lastra · FW · CF Pachuca (MEX) · 109 caps · 49 goals Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez · FW · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 54 caps · 9 goals Moisés Isaac Caicedo Corozo · MF · Chelsea FC (ENG) · 65 caps · 3 goals Pervis Josue Estupiñán Tenorio · DF · AC Milan (ITA) · 56 caps · 5 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Hernán Ismael Galíndez · GK · CA Huracán (ARG) · 39 caps · 0 goals Pervis Josue Estupiñán Tenorio · DF · AC Milan (ITA) · 56 caps · 5 goals Félix Eduardo Torres Caicedo · DF · SC Internacional (BRA) · 50 caps · 5 goals Piero Martin Hincapié Reyna · DF · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 56 caps · 2 goals Ángelo Smit Preciado Quiñonez · DF · Atlético Mineiro (BRA) · 60 caps · 0 goals Moisés Isaac Caicedo Corozo · MF · Chelsea FC (ENG) · 65 caps · 3 goals Alan Steven Franco Palma · MF · Atlético Mineiro (BRA) · 62 caps · 1 goals Ray Kendry Paez Andrade · MF · CA River Plate (ARG) · 27 caps · 2 goals Enner Remberto Valencia Lastra · FW · CF Pachuca (MEX) · 109 caps · 49 goals Gonzalo Jordy Plata Jimenez · FW · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 54 caps · 9 goals Kevin Jose Rodríguez Cortez · FW · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (BEL) · 35 caps · 2 goals |
| Bench depth | Willian Joel Pacho Tenorio · DF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 38 caps · 2 goals John Yeboah Zamora · FW · Venezia FC (ITA) · 26 caps · 3 goals Jordy Josue Caicedo Medina · FW · CA Huracán (ARG) · 23 caps · 4 goals Nilson David Angulo Ramirez · FW · Sunderland AFC (ENG) · 18 caps · 3 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 8 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?1-0
The final score was 1-0, and the result is included in the Group E review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Miss
The pre-match lean was Ecuador win, and the result direction missed.
What was the score error?1
The predicted score was 1-1; score error across both teams was 1.
What was the total-goal error?0.86
Actual total goals were 1 versus an expectation of about 1.86, leaving a 0.86 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group E
It affects Group E points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 1-0. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.86.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.