Completed reviews
Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast Post-Match Analysis
Germany vs Ivory Coast: quick verdict
Model prefers Germany at 59%, with a 2-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Germany is the model lean at 59%; likely score path 2-1.
Germany 59% / Draw 23% / Ivory Coast 19%
Who is more likely to winGermany 59%
Win probability59%
Predicted score2-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelLow upset risk: model lean is clear / Medium goal risk: leans 2-3 goals / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJun 20, 2026, 11:13 PM
Pre-match predictionGermany 59%, predicted score 2-1.
Post-match reviewActual 2-1. Direction hit. Score error 0; total-goals error 0.25. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 2-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 0, and total-goal error was 0.25.
Model hitHit
Score error0
Goal error0.25
Group impactGroup E
The final score was 2-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 0, and total-goal error was 0.25.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 2-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 2-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 0 |
| Total-goal error | 0.25 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 3 / 2.75 |
Actual Result
Germany and Ivory Coast completed their Group E match on Jun 20, 2026. The final score was 2-1, producing Germany win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Germany win 59%, draw 23%, and Ivory Coast win 19%. The highest-probability lean was Germany win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Germany 1.83 and Ivory Coast 0.92, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 0 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.75 total goals, while the match produced 3. Total-goal error was 0.25.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Germany win, the actual result was Germany, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 3 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.75, leaving a 0.25 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanGermany win
Actual resultGermany
Score error0
Goal error0.25
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 2-1, score error was 0, and total-goal error was 0.25; the goal tempo stayed close to the model expectation. For Group E, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe goal tempo stayed close to the model expectation
GroupGroup E
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group E. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group E squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
GER · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Germany
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Joshua Walter Kimmich · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 111 caps · 10 goals Kai Lukas Havertz · FW · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 59 caps · 24 goals Leroy Aziz Sané · MF · Galatasaray SK (TUR) · 77 caps · 17 goals Manuel Peter Neuer · GK · FC Bayern München (GER) · 125 caps · 0 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Manuel Peter Neuer · GK · FC Bayern München (GER) · 125 caps · 0 goals Joshua Walter Kimmich · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 111 caps · 10 goals Antonio Rüdiger · DF · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 83 caps · 3 goals Jonathan Glao Tah · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 48 caps · 1 goals David Raum · DF · RB Leipzig (GER) · 38 caps · 1 goals Leroy Aziz Sané · MF · Galatasaray SK (TUR) · 77 caps · 17 goals Leon Christoph Goretzka · MF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 71 caps · 15 goals Florian Richard Wirtz · MF · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 42 caps · 11 goals Kai Lukas Havertz · FW · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 59 caps · 24 goals Deniz Undav · FW · VfB Stuttgart (GER) · 10 caps · 7 goals Nick Woltemade · FW · Newcastle United FC (ENG) · 11 caps · 4 goals |
| Bench depth | Jamal Musiala · MF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 43 caps · 10 goals Nico Cédric Schlotterbeck · DF · Borussia Dortmund (GER) · 28 caps · 1 goals Pascal Alexander Groß · MF · Brighton & Hove Albion FC (ENG) · 18 caps · 1 goals Aleksandar Pavlović · MF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 12 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 11 / FW: 4 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
CIV · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Ivory Coast
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Franck Yannick Kessie · MF · Al Ahli FC (KSA) · 105 caps · 15 goals Nicolas Pepe · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 57 caps · 12 goals Ibrahim Sangare · MF · Nottingham Forest FC (ENG) · 56 caps · 11 goals Jean Michael Seri · MF · NK Maribor (SVN) · 65 caps · 4 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Yahia Fofana · GK · Çaykur Rizespor (TUR) · 37 caps · 0 goals N'clomande Ghislain Konan · DF · Gil Vicente FC (POR) · 55 caps · 0 goals Wilfried Stephane Singo · DF · Galatasaray SK (TUR) · 36 caps · 1 goals Kouakou Odilon Dorgeless Kossounou · DF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 37 caps · 0 goals Guela Maho-Lewis Doue · DF · RC Strasbourg (FRA) · 21 caps · 3 goals Franck Yannick Kessie · MF · Al Ahli FC (KSA) · 105 caps · 15 goals Ibrahim Sangare · MF · Nottingham Forest FC (ENG) · 56 caps · 11 goals Jean Michael Seri · MF · NK Maribor (SVN) · 65 caps · 4 goals Nicolas Pepe · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 57 caps · 12 goals Oumar Diakite · FW · Cercle Brugge (BEL) · 29 caps · 6 goals Simon Adingra · FW · AS Monaco (FRA) · 29 caps · 5 goals |
| Bench depth | Seko Mohamed Fofana · MF · FC Porto (POR) · 33 caps · 7 goals Amad Diallo · FW · Manchester United FC (ENG) · 20 caps · 7 goals Evann Ludovic Vidjannagni Guessand · FW · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 21 caps · 4 goals Obite Evan Ndicka · DF · AS Roma (ITA) · 29 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 6 / FW: 9 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 20, 2026, 11:12 PM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Germany vs Ivory Coast?2-1
The final score was 2-1, and the result is included in the Group E review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Germany win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?0
The predicted score was 2-1; score error across both teams was 0.
What was the total-goal error?0.25
Actual total goals were 3 versus an expectation of about 2.75, leaving a 0.25 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group E
It affects Group E points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 2-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 0, and total-goal error was 0.25.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.