Completed reviews
Portugal 1-1 DR Congo Post-Match Analysis
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.74.
Model hitMiss
Score error1
Goal error0.74
Group impactGroup K
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.74.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 2-1 |
| Model direction | Miss |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 0.74 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 2 / 2.74 |
Actual Result
Portugal and DR Congo completed their Group K match on Jun 17, 2026. The final score was 1-1, producing a draw.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Portugal win 71%, draw 19%, and DR Congo win 11%. The highest-probability lean was Portugal win, and the result call missed.
Expected goals were Portugal 2.09 and DR Congo 0.66, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.74 total goals, while the match produced 2. Total-goal error was 0.74.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Portugal 1-1 DR Congo is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Portugal win, the actual result was draw, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 2 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.74, leaving a 0.74 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanPortugal win
Actual resultdraw
Score error1
Goal error0.74
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group K. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 18, 2026, 12:27 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Conclusion
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.74.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.