Completed reviews
Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia Post-Match Analysis
Uzbekistan vs Colombia: quick verdict
Model prefers Colombia at 62%, with a 1-2 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Colombia leads Uzbekistan vs Colombia at 62%; full 90-minute split is Uzbekistan 14%, Draw 24%, Colombia 62%; likely score 1-2, total xG 2.27; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Uzbekistan 14% / Draw 24% / Colombia 62%
Who is more likely to winColombia 62%
Win probability62%
Predicted score1-2Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelLow upset risk: model lean is clear / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionColombia 62%, predicted score 1-2.
Post-match reviewActual 1-3. Direction hit. Score error 1; total-goals error 1.73. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.73.
Model hitHit
Score error1
Goal error1.73
Group impactGroup K
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.73.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-3 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-2 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 1.73 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 2.27 |
Actual Result
Uzbekistan and Colombia completed their Group K match on Jun 17, 2026. The final score was 1-3, producing Colombia win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Uzbekistan win 14%, draw 24%, and Colombia win 62%. The highest-probability lean was Colombia win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Uzbekistan 0.63 and Colombia 1.64, which rounded to a 1-2 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.27 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 1.73.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Colombia win, the actual result was Colombia, and the projected score was 1-2. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.27, leaving a 1.73 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanColombia win
Actual resultColombia
Score error1
Goal error1.73
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-2, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.73; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group K, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup K
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group K. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group K squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
UZB · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Uzbekistan
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Eldor Shomurodov · FW · Başakşehir FK (TUR) · 96 caps · 45 goals Igor Sergeev · FW · Persepolis FC (IRN) · 88 caps · 25 goals Otabek Shukurov · MF · Baniyas Club (UAE) · 93 caps · 10 goals Odiljon Xamrobekov · MF · Tractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN) · 78 caps · 1 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Utkir Yusupov · GK · PFC Navbahor Namangan (UZB) · 46 caps · 0 goals Farrukh Sayfiev · DF · FK Neftchi Farg'ona (UZB) · 72 caps · 1 goals Khojiakbar Alijonov · DF · Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (UZB) · 54 caps · 3 goals Rustamjon Ashurmatov · DF · Esteghlal Tehran FC (IRN) · 54 caps · 1 goals Sherzod Nasrullaev · DF · Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (UZB) · 43 caps · 2 goals Otabek Shukurov · MF · Baniyas Club (UAE) · 93 caps · 10 goals Odiljon Xamrobekov · MF · Tractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN) · 78 caps · 1 goals Oston Urunov · MF · Persepolis FC (IRN) · 47 caps · 10 goals Eldor Shomurodov · FW · Başakşehir FK (TUR) · 96 caps · 45 goals Igor Sergeev · FW · Persepolis FC (IRN) · 88 caps · 25 goals Azizbek Amonov · FW · FK Dinamo Samarkand (UZB) · 14 caps · 2 goals |
| Bench depth | Abbosbek Fayzullaev · MF · Başakşehir FK (TUR) · 35 caps · 9 goals Jamshid Iskanderov · MF · FK Neftchi Farg'ona (UZB) · 47 caps · 4 goals Dostonbek Khamdamov · MF · Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (UZB) · 39 caps · 5 goals Umarbek Eshmurodov · DF · Nasaf Qarshi FC (UZB) · 40 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 10 / MF: 10 / FW: 3 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
COL · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Colombia
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | James David Rodríguez Rubio · MF · Minnesota United FC (USA) · 131 caps · 31 goals Luis Fernando Díaz Marulanda · FW · FC Bayern München (GER) · 79 caps · 23 goals David Ospina Ramirez · GK · Atlético Nacional (COL) · 130 caps · 0 goals Davinson Sánchez Mina · DF · Galatasaray SK (TUR) · 84 caps · 4 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | David Ospina Ramirez · GK · Atlético Nacional (COL) · 130 caps · 0 goals Davinson Sánchez Mina · DF · Galatasaray SK (TUR) · 84 caps · 4 goals Yerry Fernando Mina Gonzalez · DF · Cagliari (ITA) · 55 caps · 8 goals Santiago Arias Naranjo · DF · CA Independiente (ARG) · 69 caps · 0 goals Daniel Muñoz Mejia · DF · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 51 caps · 5 goals James David Rodríguez Rubio · MF · Minnesota United FC (USA) · 131 caps · 31 goals Jefferson Andrés Lerma Solis · MF · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 70 caps · 5 goals Juan Fernando Quintero Paniagua · MF · CA River Plate (ARG) · 53 caps · 6 goals Luis Fernando Díaz Marulanda · FW · FC Bayern München (GER) · 79 caps · 23 goals Jhon Andrés Córdoba Copete · FW · FC Krasnodar (RUS) · 24 caps · 6 goals Luis Javier Suárez Charris · FW · Sporting CP (POR) · 17 caps · 5 goals |
| Bench depth | Jhon Adolfo Arias Andrade · MF · SE Palmeiras (BRA) · 43 caps · 7 goals Johan Andrés Mojica Palacio · DF · RCD Mallorca (ESP) · 49 caps · 1 goals Camilo Andres Vargas Gil · GK · Atlas FC (MEX) · 47 caps · 0 goals Jhon Janer Lucumi Bonilla · DF · Bologna FC (ITA) · 42 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 8 / FW: 6 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Uzbekistan vs Colombia?1-3
The final score was 1-3, and the result is included in the Group K review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Colombia win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?1
The predicted score was 1-2; score error across both teams was 1.
What was the total-goal error?1.73
Actual total goals were 4 versus an expectation of about 2.27, leaving a 1.73 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group K
It affects Group K points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.73.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.