Completed reviews
Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia Post-Match Analysis
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.73.
Model hitHit
Score error1
Goal error1.73
Group impactGroup K
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.73.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-3 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-2 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 1.73 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 2.27 |
Actual Result
Uzbekistan and Colombia completed their Group K match on Jun 17, 2026. The final score was 1-3, producing Colombia win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Uzbekistan win 14%, draw 24%, and Colombia win 62%. The highest-probability lean was Colombia win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Uzbekistan 0.63 and Colombia 1.64, which rounded to a 1-2 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.27 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 1.73.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Colombia win, the actual result was Colombia, and the projected score was 1-2. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.27, leaving a 1.73 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanColombia win
Actual resultColombia
Score error1
Goal error1.73
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group K. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 18, 2026, 12:27 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Conclusion
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.73.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.