Completed reviews
New Zealand 1-3 Egypt Post-Match Analysis
New Zealand vs Egypt: quick verdict
Model prefers Egypt at 51%, with a 1-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Egypt leads New Zealand vs Egypt at 51%; full 90-minute split is New Zealand 19%, Draw 31%, Egypt 51%; likely score 1-1, total xG 1.83; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
New Zealand 19% / Draw 31% / Egypt 51%
Who is more likely to winEgypt 51%
Win probability51%
Predicted score1-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelMedium upset risk: result path can swing / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionEgypt 51%, predicted score 1-1.
Post-match reviewActual 1-3. Direction hit. Score error 2; total-goals error 2.17. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.17.
Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error2.17
Group impactGroup G
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.17.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-3 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 2 |
| Total-goal error | 2.17 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 1.83 |
Actual Result
New Zealand and Egypt completed their Group G match on Jun 21, 2026. The final score was 1-3, producing Egypt win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were New Zealand win 19%, draw 31%, and Egypt win 51%. The highest-probability lean was Egypt win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were New Zealand 0.62 and Egypt 1.21, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 1.83 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 2.17.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
New Zealand 1-3 Egypt is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Egypt win, the actual result was Egypt, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 1.83, leaving a 2.17 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanEgypt win
Actual resultEgypt
Score error2
Goal error2.17
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
New Zealand 1-3 Egypt is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.17; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group G, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup G
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group G. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group G squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
NZL · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
New Zealand
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Christopher Grant Wood · FW · Nottingham Forest FC (ENG) · 93 caps · 45 goals Kosta Barbarouses · FW · WS Wanderers FC (AUS) · 76 caps · 10 goals Elijah Henry Just · MF · Motherwell FC (SCO) · 47 caps · 12 goals Michael Joseph Boxall · DF · Minnesota United FC (USA) · 67 caps · 1 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Maxime Teremoana Crocombe · GK · Millwall FC (ENG) · 27 caps · 0 goals Michael Joseph Boxall · DF · Minnesota United FC (USA) · 67 caps · 1 goals Timothy John Payne · DF · Wellington Phoenix FC (NZL) · 55 caps · 3 goals Thomas Jefferson Smith · DF · Braintree Town FC (ENG) · 57 caps · 2 goals Liberato Gianpaolo Cacace · DF · Wrexham AFC (WAL) · 40 caps · 1 goals Elijah Henry Just · MF · Motherwell FC (SCO) · 47 caps · 12 goals Marko Seufatu Nikola Stamenic · MF · Swansea City AFC (WAL) · 43 caps · 3 goals Callum William Mccowatt · MF · Silkeborg IF (DEN) · 36 caps · 5 goals Christopher Grant Wood · FW · Nottingham Forest FC (ENG) · 93 caps · 45 goals Kosta Barbarouses · FW · WS Wanderers FC (AUS) · 76 caps · 10 goals Benjamin Peter Waine · FW · Port Vale FC (ENG) · 31 caps · 9 goals |
| Bench depth | Sarpreet Singh · MF · Wellington Phoenix FC (NZL) · 31 caps · 3 goals Joe Zen Robert Bell · MF · Viking Stavanger (NOR) · 35 caps · 1 goals Ryan Jared Thomas · MF · PEC Zwolle (NED) · 28 caps · 3 goals Tyler Grant Bindon · DF · Sheeld United FC (ENG) · 28 caps · 2 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 9 / FW: 5 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
EGY · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Egypt
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Mohamed Salah Hamed Mahrous Ghaly · FW · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 121 caps · 68 goals Mahmoud Ahmed Ibrahim Hassan · FW · Al Ahly FC (EGY) · 100 caps · 24 goals Omar Khaled Mohamed Abdelsalam Marmoush · FW · Manchester City FC (ENG) · 55 caps · 11 goals Ahmed Mostafa Mohamed Sayed · FW · Al Ahly FC (EGY) · 68 caps · 5 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Mohamed Elsayed Mohamed Elshenawy Gomaa · GK · Al Ahly FC (EGY) · 77 caps · 0 goals Ramy Hisham Abdelaziz Moustafa Rabia · DF · Al Ain FC (UAE) · 52 caps · 6 goals Mohamed Hany Gamal Eldemerdash · DF · Al Ahly FC (EGY) · 48 caps · 0 goals Mohamed Abdelmoneim Elsayed M Ahmed · DF · OGC Nice (FRA) · 38 caps · 3 goals Ahmed Mohamed Aboelfetouh Mohamed · DF · Zamalek SC (EGY) · 42 caps · 1 goals Hamdy Fathy Abdelhalim Abdelfattah · MF · Al Wakrah SC (QAT) · 68 caps · 4 goals Marawan Attia Fahim Ghallab · MF · Al Ahly FC (EGY) · 40 caps · 1 goals Emam Ashour Metwaly Abdelghany · MF · Al Ahly FC (EGY) · 34 caps · 2 goals Mohamed Salah Hamed Mahrous Ghaly · FW · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 121 caps · 68 goals Mahmoud Ahmed Ibrahim Hassan · FW · Al Ahly FC (EGY) · 100 caps · 24 goals Omar Khaled Mohamed Abdelsalam Marmoush · FW · Manchester City FC (ENG) · 55 caps · 11 goals |
| Bench depth | Ahmed Mostafa Mohamed Sayed · FW · Al Ahly FC (EGY) · 68 caps · 5 goals Ibrahim Adel Aly Mohamed Hassan · FW · FC Nordsjælland (DEN) · 25 caps · 3 goals Yasser Ahmed Ibrahim Elhanafy · DF · Al Ahly FC (EGY) · 23 caps · 2 goals Mohanad Mostafa Ahmed A Lashin · MF · Pyramids FC (EGY) · 27 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 4 / DF: 8 / MF: 7 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for New Zealand vs Egypt?1-3
The final score was 1-3, and the result is included in the Group G review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Egypt win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?2
The predicted score was 1-1; score error across both teams was 2.
What was the total-goal error?2.17
Actual total goals were 4 versus an expectation of about 1.83, leaving a 2.17 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group G
It affects Group G points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.17.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.