Completed reviews
Uruguay 0-1 Spain Post-Match Analysis
Uruguay vs Spain: quick verdict
Model prefers Spain at 53%, with a 1-2 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Spain leads Uruguay vs Spain at 53%; full 90-minute split is Uruguay 22%, Draw 26%, Spain 53%; likely score 1-2, total xG 2.42; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Uruguay 22% / Draw 26% / Spain 53%
Who is more likely to winSpain 53%
Win probability53%
Predicted score1-2Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelMedium upset risk: result path can swing / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionSpain 53%, predicted score 1-2.
Post-match reviewActual 0-1. Direction hit. Score error 2; total-goals error 1.42. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.42.
Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error1.42
Group impactGroup H
The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.42.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 0-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-2 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 2 |
| Total-goal error | 1.42 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 1 / 2.42 |
Actual Result
Uruguay and Spain completed their Group H match on Jun 26, 2026. The final score was 0-1, producing Spain win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Uruguay win 22%, draw 26%, and Spain win 53%. The highest-probability lean was Spain win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Uruguay 0.88 and Spain 1.54, which rounded to a 1-2 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.42 total goals, while the match produced 1. Total-goal error was 1.42.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Uruguay 0-1 Spain is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Spain win, the actual result was Spain, and the projected score was 1-2. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 1 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.42, leaving a 1.42 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanSpain win
Actual resultSpain
Score error2
Goal error1.42
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Uruguay 0-1 Spain is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.42; the match played tighter than the model expected. For Group H, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played tighter than the model expected
StageGroup H
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group H. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group H squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
URU · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Uruguay
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Nestor Fernando Muslera Micol · GK · Estudiantes LP (ARG) · 137 caps · 0 goals José María Giménez De Vargas · DF · Atlético De Madrid (ESP) · 99 caps · 8 goals Federico Santiago Valverde Dipetta · MF · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 76 caps · 9 goals Giorgian Daniel De Arrascaeta Benedetti · MF · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 59 caps · 13 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Nestor Fernando Muslera Micol · GK · Estudiantes LP (ARG) · 137 caps · 0 goals José María Giménez De Vargas · DF · Atlético De Madrid (ESP) · 99 caps · 8 goals Matías Nicolas Viña Susperreguy · DF · CA River Plate (ARG) · 44 caps · 1 goals Mathías Olivera Miramontes · DF · SSC Napoli (ITA) · 38 caps · 2 goals Ronald Federico Araújo Da Silva · DF · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 27 caps · 1 goals Federico Santiago Valverde Dipetta · MF · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 76 caps · 9 goals Giorgian Daniel De Arrascaeta Benedetti · MF · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 59 caps · 13 goals Rodrigo Bentancur Colmán · MF · Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) · 76 caps · 3 goals Darwin Gabriel Nuñez Ribeiro · FW · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 41 caps · 13 goals Paul Brian Rodríguez Bravo · FW · Club América (MEX) · 36 caps · 4 goals Facundo Pellistri Rebollo · FW · Panathinaikos FC (GRE) · 39 caps · 2 goals |
| Bench depth | Diego Nicolás De La Cruz Arcosa · MF · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 37 caps · 5 goals Maximiliano Javier Araújo Vilches · MF · Sporting CP (POR) · 31 caps · 5 goals Manuel Ugarte Ribeiro · MF · Manchester United FC (ENG) · 38 caps · 1 goals Sergio Ramón Rochet Alvarez · GK · SC Internacional (BRA) · 36 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 7 / MF: 11 / FW: 5 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
ESP · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Spain
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Mikel Oyarzabal Ugarte · FW · Real Sociedad (ESP) · 60 caps · 30 goals Ferran Torres García · FW · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 64 caps · 24 goals Daniel Olmo Carvajal · FW · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 57 caps · 12 goals Mikel Merino Zazón · MF · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 50 caps · 12 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Unai Simón Mendibil · GK · Athletic Club (ESP) · 65 caps · 0 goals Aymeric Laporte Fevre · DF · Athletic Club (ESP) · 53 caps · 2 goals Marc Cucurella Saseta · DF · Chelsea FC (ENG) · 31 caps · 1 goals Pedro Antonio Porro Sauceda · DF · Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) · 23 caps · 2 goals Marcos Llorente Moreno · DF · Atlético De Madrid (ESP) · 27 caps · 0 goals Mikel Merino Zazón · MF · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 50 caps · 12 goals Rodrigo Hernández Cascante · MF · Manchester City FC (ENG) · 69 caps · 4 goals Fabian Ruiz Peña · MF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 49 caps · 7 goals Mikel Oyarzabal Ugarte · FW · Real Sociedad (ESP) · 60 caps · 30 goals Ferran Torres García · FW · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 64 caps · 24 goals Daniel Olmo Carvajal · FW · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 57 caps · 12 goals |
| Bench depth | Pedro González López · MF · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 48 caps · 6 goals Nicholas Williams Arthuer · FW · Athletic Club (ESP) · 35 caps · 6 goals Lamine Yamal Nasraoui Ebana · FW · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 32 caps · 7 goals Pablo Paez Gavira · MF · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 32 caps · 5 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 7 / FW: 8 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Uruguay vs Spain?0-1
The final score was 0-1, and the result is included in the Group H review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Spain win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?2
The predicted score was 1-2; score error across both teams was 2.
What was the total-goal error?1.42
Actual total goals were 1 versus an expectation of about 2.42, leaving a 1.42 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group H
It affects Group H points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.42.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.