Completed reviews
France 0-2 Spain Post-Match Analysis
France vs Spain: quick verdict
Model prefers Spain at 45%, with a 1-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Spain leads France vs Spain at 45%; full 90-minute split is France 29%, Draw 26%, Spain 45%; likely score 1-1, total xG 2.53; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
France 29% / Draw 26% / Spain 45%
Who is more likely to winSpain 45%
Win probability45%
Predicted score1-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelHigh upset risk: no clean model edge / Medium goal risk: leans 2-3 goals / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionSpain 45%, predicted score 1-1.
Post-match reviewActual 0-2. Direction hit. Score error 2; total-goals error 0.53. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 0-2. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 0.53.
Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error0.53
Stage impactKnockout stage
The final score was 0-2. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 0.53.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 0-2 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 2 |
| Total-goal error | 0.53 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 2 / 2.53 |
Actual Result
France and Spain completed their Knockout stage match on Jul 14, 2026. The final score was 0-2, producing Spain win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were France win 29%, draw 26%, and Spain win 45%. The highest-probability lean was Spain win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were France 1.09 and Spain 1.43, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.53 total goals, while the match produced 2. Total-goal error was 0.53.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
France 0-2 Spain is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Spain win, the actual result was Spain, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 2 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.53, leaving a 0.53 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanSpain win
Actual resultSpain
Score error2
Goal error0.53
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
France 0-2 Spain is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 0.53; the goal tempo stayed close to the model expectation. For the knockout-stage path, the result changes advancement context, rotation pressure and related fixture reads.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe goal tempo stayed close to the model expectation
StageKnockout stage
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Tournament Stage Impact
This match belongs to the knockout-stage or tournament-stage review path. Read it alongside advancement context, rotation pressure, lineup availability and related fixtures.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA squad list for the tournament-stage context: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
FRA · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
France
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Kylian Mbappe Lottin · FW · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 106 caps · 66 goals Masour Ousmane Dembele · FW · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 67 caps · 13 goals Adrien Thibault Marie Rabiot · MF · AC Milan (ITA) · 66 caps · 7 goals N'golo Kante · MF · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 69 caps · 2 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Mike Peterson Maignan · GK · AC Milan (ITA) · 48 caps · 0 goals Lucas Digne · DF · Aston Villa FC (ENG) · 64 caps · 0 goals Jules Olivier Kounde · DF · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 56 caps · 0 goals Théo Bernard François Hernandez · DF · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 49 caps · 2 goals Dayotchanculle Oswald Upamecano · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 46 caps · 2 goals Adrien Thibault Marie Rabiot · MF · AC Milan (ITA) · 66 caps · 7 goals N'golo Kante · MF · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 69 caps · 2 goals Aurélien Djani Tchouameni · MF · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 50 caps · 3 goals Kylian Mbappe Lottin · FW · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 106 caps · 66 goals Masour Ousmane Dembele · FW · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 67 caps · 13 goals Michael Akpovie Olise · FW · FC Bayern München (GER) · 25 caps · 7 goals |
| Bench depth | Bradley Jean-Manuel Essolisa A Barcola · FW · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 28 caps · 6 goals Marcus Lilian Thuram-ulien · FW · FC Internazionale Milano (ITA) · 35 caps · 3 goals Lucas Francois Bernard Hernandez · DF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 42 caps · 0 goals William Alain André Gabriel Saliba · DF · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 38 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 7 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
ESP · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Spain
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Mikel Oyarzabal Ugarte · FW · Real Sociedad (ESP) · 60 caps · 30 goals Ferran Torres García · FW · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 64 caps · 24 goals Daniel Olmo Carvajal · FW · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 57 caps · 12 goals Mikel Merino Zazón · MF · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 50 caps · 12 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Unai Simón Mendibil · GK · Athletic Club (ESP) · 65 caps · 0 goals Aymeric Laporte Fevre · DF · Athletic Club (ESP) · 53 caps · 2 goals Marc Cucurella Saseta · DF · Chelsea FC (ENG) · 31 caps · 1 goals Pedro Antonio Porro Sauceda · DF · Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) · 23 caps · 2 goals Marcos Llorente Moreno · DF · Atlético De Madrid (ESP) · 27 caps · 0 goals Mikel Merino Zazón · MF · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 50 caps · 12 goals Rodrigo Hernández Cascante · MF · Manchester City FC (ENG) · 69 caps · 4 goals Fabian Ruiz Peña · MF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 49 caps · 7 goals Mikel Oyarzabal Ugarte · FW · Real Sociedad (ESP) · 60 caps · 30 goals Ferran Torres García · FW · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 64 caps · 24 goals Daniel Olmo Carvajal · FW · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 57 caps · 12 goals |
| Bench depth | Pedro González López · MF · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 48 caps · 6 goals Nicholas Williams Arthuer · FW · Athletic Club (ESP) · 35 caps · 6 goals Lamine Yamal Nasraoui Ebana · FW · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 32 caps · 7 goals Pablo Paez Gavira · MF · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 32 caps · 5 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 7 / FW: 8 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for France vs Spain?0-2
The final score was 0-2, and the result is included in the Knockout stage review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Spain win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?2
The predicted score was 1-1; score error across both teams was 2.
What was the total-goal error?0.53
Actual total goals were 2 versus an expectation of about 2.53, leaving a 0.53 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Knockout stage
It affects the knockout-stage path, advancement context, rotation pressure and related fixture reads.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 0-2. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 0.53.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.