Tactical key
Sweden xG is 1.18, Tunisia xG is 1.03. Watch midfield control and box entries first.
Match Insight - Jun 14, 2026 - Group F
Sweden vs Tunisia Analysis: Probability, Tactics and Key Players
Quick Take
Sweden vs Tunisia currently leans Sweden win 39%, projected score 1-1, expected goals 2.21, risk high.
Key Takeaway
Sweden vs Tunisia currently leans Sweden win 39%, projected score 1-1, expected goals 2.21, risk high.
Model leanSweden win 39%
Predicted score1-1
xG1.18 / 1.03
Riskhigh
Player watch
Sweden watch list: Alexander Isak, Viktor Einar Gyökeres, Victor Jörgen Nilsson Lindelöf, Anthony David Junior Elanga. Tunisia watch list: Ellyes Joris Skhiri, Montassar Omar Talbi, Ali Elabdi, Dylan Daniel Mahmoud Bronn. Keep lineup risk until official XI.
Group impact
Group F pressure raises the value of this fixture; both Sweden and Tunisia need points and goal difference.
Model Snapshot
Legal / Trust
Last updatedJun 21, 2026
TypePre-match analysis
Sourcesschedule.csv / game_predictions.csv / Official FIFA squad list: 48 teams / 1248 players
NoticeEntertainment only, not betting advice
Quick Links
Model lean
Sweden vs Tunisia
Sweden vs Tunisia analysis with model lean , score , expected goals , Group F context, tactics and lineup risk.
Group
Group F
Group F's key story is direct fixtures among , goal-difference pressure and final-round points swings.
FAQ
Who is more likely to win Sweden vs Tunisia?The model currently leans Sweden win at 39%, with projected score 1-1
The model currently leans Sweden win at 39%, with projected score 1-1.
How many goals are expected in Sweden vs Tunisia?Expected total goals are near 2
Expected total goals are near 2.21; Over 2.5 is around 38%.
Are Sweden vs Tunisia lineups confirmed?Before official XI is published, this page shows likely candidates and source status without inventing live information
Before official XI is published, this page shows likely candidates and source status without inventing live information.