Fair Odds - Jun 12, 2026 - Group D

United States vs Paraguay: Model Fair Odds and Goal Markets

Last updated: Jun 21, 2026 | Entertainment only, not betting advice

Quick Answer

The model lean for United States vs Paraguay is United States win (47%), the most likely score is 1-1, expected total goals are 2.14, and risk is medium; final score 4-1.

Key Takeaway

The model lean for United States vs Paraguay is United States win (47%), the most likely score is 1-1, expected total goals are 2.14, and risk is medium; final score 4-1.

Model leanUnited States win 47%
Predicted score1-1
Expected total goals2.14
Risk levelmedium
47%United States win
29%Draw
25%Paraguay win
1.29 / 0.85xG
36%Over 2.5 goals
42%BTTS

Post-Match Review Status

United States vs Paraguay is completed with final score 4-1. This page keeps the pre-match model read and compares it with the forecast score 1-1.

United States vs Paraguay model fair odds

Current values are model fair odds. Official/market live odds are pending. Entertainment reference only, not betting advice.

United States vs Paraguay 1X2 values are converted from model probabilities and do not represent official or market odds. The current lean is United States win 47%, Over 2.5 is 36%, and BTTS is 42%. Once official or market sources are connected, this module will show source status and refresh time.

MarketModel probabilityFair odds
United States win47%2.13
Draw29%3.50
Paraguay win25%4.08
Over 2.5 goals36%2.76
BTTS42%2.41

Trust

Data Status and Use Boundary

Sources: schedule.csv, game_predictions.csv, Official FIFA squad list: 48 teams / 1248 players.

Odds statusModel fair odds; official/market live source pending
Lineup statusLikely XI and availability update when official sources confirm
Forecast typePost-match model backtest
Use boundaryEntertainment only, not betting advice

Related Links

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Group D

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Data Sources

Review public data, model estimates and pending-source status.

FAQ

Who is more likely to win United States vs Paraguay?United States win

The model currently leans United States win at 47%, with projected score 1-1 and final score 4-1.

What is the United States vs Paraguay score prediction?1-1

The model score is 1-1, expected total goals are 2.14, Over 2.5 is around 36%, and BTTS is around 42%.

Are the United States vs Paraguay odds official?Model fair odds; official/market live source pending

No. Current values are model fair odds; official/market live odds are pending and the page is entertainment reference only.