Group Prediction
2026 World Cup Group D Standings Prediction
2026 World Cup Group D prediction with current standings, projected points, qualification odds, fixture forecasts, team pages, and backtesting.
- Group standings
- Qualification odds
- Fixture predictions
- Backtesting
Key Takeaway
Group D combines current points, projected points, and qualification odds. The model currently highlights United States as the group outlook leader.
Group outlook
Group outlook: Group D
Group D now includes a group-outlook narrative: 2 fixtures completed and 4 remaining. The model currently highlights United States; the projected-points gap between the top two is 0.9, a tight race. This section refreshes with scores, goal difference, and remaining fixtures.
Group Context
Group D current standings and model forecast
Current standings come from completed scores; projected points and qualification odds come from prediction data files.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Projected points | Round of 32 chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United States | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 5.1 | 84% |
| 2 | Australia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 4.2 | 72% |
| 3 | Turkiye | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 3.5 | 59% |
| 4 | Paraguay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 3.6 | 61% |
Teams
Group D team prediction pages
Open a team page for fixtures, score forecasts, lineup context, and completed-match review.
Fixture predictions
Group D fixtures and predictions
Fixture links point to pre-match predictions or completed reviews, creating a crawlable internal-link path.
| Date | Match | Status | xG | Model lean | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | United States vs Paraguay | 4-1 | 1.29-0.85 | United States win | Open analysis |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Australia vs Turkiye | 2-0 | 1.53-1.28 | Australia win | Open analysis |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Turkiye vs Paraguay | Scheduled | 1.23-1.23 | Turkiye win | Open analysis |
| Jun 19, 2026 | United States vs Australia | Scheduled | 1.34-1.06 | United States win | Open analysis |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Paraguay vs Australia | Scheduled | 0.89-1.08 | Australia win | Open analysis |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Turkiye vs United States | Scheduled | 1.22-1.84 | United States win | Open analysis |
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
Prediction scope, data sources, and risk boundaries.
How often are Group D standings updated?
Refresh jobs update scores, standings, post-match reviews, and related model displays as results are available.
How are Group D qualification odds calculated?
Qualification odds come from the site's prediction data and simulation outputs, used to summarize group outlook.
Are Group D predictions guaranteed?
No. They are model estimates for entertainment and analysis only, not betting advice.