Fair Odds - Jun 26, 2026 - Group I
Senegal vs Iraq: Model Fair Odds and Goal Markets
AI citation
The model lean for Senegal vs Iraq is Senegal win (54%), the most likely score is 1-1, expected total goals are 1.92, and risk is medium; final score 5-0.
Key Takeaway
The model lean for Senegal vs Iraq is Senegal win (54%), the most likely score is 1-1, expected total goals are 1.92, and risk is medium; final score 5-0.
Model leanSenegal win 54%
Predicted score1-1
Expected total goals1.92
Risk levelmedium
Post-Match Review Status
Senegal vs Iraq is completed with final score 5-0. This page keeps the pre-match model read and compares it with the forecast score 1-1.
Senegal vs Iraq model fair odds
Verified market reference odds are shown when the cache matches this fixture; official Sporttery remains pending. Model fair odds are shown for comparison. Entertainment reference only, not betting advice.
Senegal vs Iraq 1X2 values use the site market-odds cache when this fixture is matched; otherwise the page keeps model fair odds. The current lean is Senegal win 54%, Over 2.5 is 30%, and BTTS is 33%. Official Sporttery remains clearly marked as pending when unavailable.
| Market | Model probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Senegal win | 54% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.48 |
| Iraq win | 17% | 5.95 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.32 |
| BTTS | 33% | 3.03 |
Trust
Data Status and Use Boundary
Sources: schedule.csv, game_predictions.csv, Official FIFA squad list: 48 teams / 1248 players.
Odds statusMarket odds cache when matched; official Sporttery pending; model fair odds for comparison
Lineup statusLikely XI and availability update when official sources confirm
Forecast typePost-match model backtest
Use boundaryEntertainment only, not betting advice
Related Links
Continue with related matches, teams and groups
These links connect the match read with team pages, group pages, the compare tool and data sources.
Primary forecast
Senegal vs Iraq: primary prediction
The primary page for this fixture: start with who is more likely to win.
Search angle
Senegal vs Iraq: lineups
Focused on key players, likely XI, bench depth and pending source status.
FAQ
Who is more likely to win Senegal vs Iraq?Senegal win
The model currently leans Senegal win at 54%, with projected score 1-1 and final score 5-0.
What is the Senegal vs Iraq score prediction?1-1
The model score is 1-1, expected total goals are 1.92, Over 2.5 is around 30%, and BTTS is around 33%.
Are the Senegal vs Iraq odds official?Market odds cache when matched; official Sporttery pending; model fair odds for comparison
They are not official lottery odds. The page shows public market reference odds when the site cache matches; official Sporttery stays pending, and model fair odds are only probability comparisons.
How should Senegal vs Iraq fair odds be read?Market odds cache when matched; official Sporttery pending; model fair odds for comparison
Fair odds convert model probabilities into decimal reference values; the market cache is public market reference data, and official Sporttery stays pending when not matched.
How is Senegal vs Iraq reviewed after the match?5-0
The review compares final score 5-0 with predicted score 1-1, model direction, score error, goal error and group impact.