Group Prediction

2026 World Cup Group I Standings Prediction

2026 World Cup Group I prediction with current standings, projected points, qualification odds, fixture forecasts, team pages, and backtesting.

Group standings
Qualification odds
Fixture predictions
Backtesting

Key Takeaway

Group I combines current points, projected points, and qualification odds. The model currently highlights France as the group outlook leader.

Group outlook

Group outlook: Group I

Group I now includes a group-outlook narrative: 2 fixtures completed and 4 remaining. The model currently highlights France; the projected-points gap between the top two is 1.7, a moderate gap. This section refreshes with scores, goal difference, and remaining fixtures.

Model focusFrance

Top-two gap1.7

Completed2

Remaining4

Group Context

Group I current standings and model forecast

Current standings come from completed scores; projected points and qualification odds come from prediction data files.

All group predictions

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Projected points	Round of 32 chance
1	Norway	1	1	0	4	1	+3	3	4.1	72%
2	France	1	1	0	3	1	+2	3	6.1	93%
3	Senegal	1	0	1	1	3	-2	0	4.3	76%
4	Iraq	1	0	1	1	4	-3	0	2.1	29%

Teams

Group I team prediction pages

Open a team page for fixtures, score forecasts, lineup context, and completed-match review.

Current points: 3

France

Round of 32 chance: 93% · Projected points: 6.1

Current points: 0

Senegal

Round of 32 chance: 76% · Projected points: 4.3

Current points: 0

Iraq

Round of 32 chance: 29% · Projected points: 2.1

Current points: 3

Norway

Round of 32 chance: 72% · Projected points: 4.1

Fixture predictions

Group I fixtures and predictions

Fixture links point to pre-match predictions or completed reviews, creating a crawlable internal-link path.

Date	Match	Status	xG	Model lean	Link
Jun 16, 2026	France vs Senegal	3-1	1.40-0.85	France win	Open analysis
Jun 16, 2026	Iraq vs Norway	1-4	0.82-1.64	Norway win	Open analysis
Jun 22, 2026	France vs Iraq	Scheduled	2.03-0.55	France win	Open analysis
Jun 22, 2026	Norway vs Senegal	Scheduled	1.13-1.25	Senegal win	Open analysis
Jun 26, 2026	Norway vs France	Scheduled	1.05-1.92	France win	Open analysis
Jun 26, 2026	Senegal vs Iraq	Scheduled	1.32-0.60	Senegal win	Open analysis

Last updatedJun 18, 2026, 12:27 AM EDT

Data SourcesSchedule, prediction CSVs, public scores

Page typeModel analysis and backtesting

NoticeEntertainment only

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Prediction scope, data sources, and risk boundaries.

How often are Group I standings updated?

Refresh jobs update scores, standings, post-match reviews, and related model displays as results are available.

How are Group I qualification odds calculated?

Qualification odds come from the site's prediction data and simulation outputs, used to summarize group outlook.

Are Group I predictions guaranteed?

No. They are model estimates for entertainment and analysis only, not betting advice.