Completed reviews

South Korea 2-1 Czechia Post-Match Analysis

Jun 11, 2026 · Group A · Completed-match forecast review

Key Takeaway

The final score was 2-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.46.

Model hitHit
Score error1
Goal error0.46
Group impactGroup A

The final score was 2-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.46.

2-1Final score
South Korea winModel lean · 41%
1-1Predicted score

Post-Match Data Summary

Final score2-1
Pre-match predicted score1-1
Model directionHit
Score error1
Total-goal error0.46
Actual vs expected goals3 / 2.54

Actual Result

South Korea and Czechia completed their Group A match on Jun 11, 2026. The final score was 2-1, producing South Korea win.

Pre-Match Forecast Review

The pre-match probabilities were South Korea win 41%, draw 27%, and Czechia win 32%. The highest-probability lean was South Korea win, and the result call hit.

Expected goals were South Korea 1.37 and Czechia 1.18, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).

Goals Review

The model expected about 2.54 total goals, while the match produced 3. Total-goal error was 0.46.

Model Backtest Learning Notes

South Korea 2-1 Czechia is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was South Korea win, the actual result was South Korea, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 3 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.54, leaving a 0.46 total-goal error.

Pre-match leanSouth Korea win
Actual resultSouth Korea
Score error1
Goal error0.46

Group Impact

This match counts toward Group A. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.

Trust & Transparency

Last updatedJun 18, 2026, 12:27 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only

Conclusion

The final score was 2-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.46.

For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.