Completed reviews
Czechia 1-1 South Africa Post-Match Analysis
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 0, and total-goal error was 0.45.
Model hitMiss
Score error0
Goal error0.45
Group impactGroup A
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 0, and total-goal error was 0.45.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Miss |
| Score error | 0 |
| Total-goal error | 0.45 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 2 / 2.45 |
Actual Result
Czechia and South Africa completed their Group A match on Jun 18, 2026. The final score was 1-1, producing a draw.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Czechia win 48%, draw 26%, and South Africa win 25%. The highest-probability lean was Czechia win, and the result call missed.
Expected goals were Czechia 1.47 and South Africa 0.98, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 0 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.45 total goals, while the match produced 2. Total-goal error was 0.45.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Czechia 1-1 South Africa is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Czechia win, the actual result was draw, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 2 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.45, leaving a 0.45 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanCzechia win
Actual resultdraw
Score error0
Goal error0.45
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group A. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group A squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
CZE · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Czechia
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
| Key players | Tomáš Souček · MF · West Ham United FC (ENG) · 92 caps · 17 goals Patrik Schick · FW · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (GER) · 55 caps · 26 goals Vladimír Darida · MF · FC Hradec Králové (CZE) · 80 caps · 8 goals Vladimír Coufal · DF · TSG Hoffenheim (GER) · 64 caps · 2 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Matěj Kovář · GK · PSV Eindhoven (NED) · 22 caps · 0 goals Vladimír Coufal · DF · TSG Hoffenheim (GER) · 64 caps · 2 goals Tomáš Holeš · DF · SK Slavia Praha (CZE) · 42 caps · 2 goals Ladislav Krejčí · DF · Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (ENG) · 29 caps · 6 goals David Zima · DF · SK Slavia Praha (CZE) · 26 caps · 1 goals Tomáš Souček · MF · West Ham United FC (ENG) · 92 caps · 17 goals Vladimír Darida · MF · FC Hradec Králové (CZE) · 80 caps · 8 goals Lukáš Provod · MF · SK Slavia Praha (CZE) · 40 caps · 3 goals Patrik Schick · FW · Bayer 04 Leverkusen (GER) · 55 caps · 26 goals Adam Hložek · FW · TSG Hoffenheim (GER) · 45 caps · 5 goals Tomáš Chorý · FW · SK Slavia Praha (CZE) · 23 caps · 7 goals |
| Bench depth | Michal Sadílek · MF · SK Slavia Praha (CZE) · 37 caps · 2 goals Mojmír Chytil · FW · SK Slavia Praha (CZE) · 23 caps · 6 goals Jan Kuchta · FW · AC Sparta Praha (CZE) · 31 caps · 3 goals Pavel Šulc · FW · Olympique Lyonnais (FRA) · 23 caps · 5 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 7 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
RSA · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
South Africa
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
| Key players | Themba Zwane · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 56 caps · 12 goals Teboho Mokoena · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 59 caps · 10 goals Ronwen Hayden Williams · GK · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 66 caps · 0 goals Lyle Brent Foster · FW · Burnley FC (ENG) · 32 caps · 10 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Ronwen Hayden Williams · GK · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 66 caps · 0 goals Aubrey Maphosa Modiba · DF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 50 caps · 3 goals Khuliso Johnson Mudau · DF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 36 caps · 1 goals Nkosinathi Emmanuel Sibisi · DF · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 22 caps · 0 goals Mbekezeli Mfanukile Mbokazi · DF · Chicago Fire FC (USA) · 12 caps · 1 goals Themba Zwane · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 56 caps · 12 goals Teboho Mokoena · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 59 caps · 10 goals Sphephelo S'miso Sithole · MF · CD Tondela (POR) · 30 caps · 1 goals Lyle Brent Foster · FW · Burnley FC (ENG) · 32 caps · 10 goals Oswin Reagan Appollis · FW · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 29 caps · 8 goals Sekotori Evidence Makgopa · FW · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 29 caps · 6 goals |
| Bench depth | Iqraam Rayners · FW · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 22 caps · 5 goals Thalente Wandile Mbatha · MF · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 18 caps · 3 goals Relebohile Mofokeng · FW · Orlando Pirates FC (RSA) · 15 caps · 1 goals Jayden Oswin Adams · MF · Mamelodi Sundowns FC (RSA) · 10 caps · 2 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 10 / MF: 5 / FW: 8 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 19, 2026, 03:30 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Conclusion
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 0, and total-goal error was 0.45.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.