Completed reviews
Mexico 1-0 South Korea Post-Match Analysis
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.19.
Model hitHit
Score error1
Goal error1.19
Group impactGroup A
The final score was 1-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.19.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-0 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 1.19 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 1 / 2.19 |
Actual Result
Mexico and South Korea completed their Group A match on Jun 18, 2026. The final score was 1-0, producing Mexico win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Mexico win 51%, draw 28%, and South Korea win 22%. The highest-probability lean was Mexico win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Mexico 1.39 and South Korea 0.80, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.19 total goals, while the match produced 1. Total-goal error was 1.19.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Mexico 1-0 South Korea is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Mexico win, the actual result was Mexico, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 1 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.19, leaving a 1.19 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanMexico win
Actual resultMexico
Score error1
Goal error1.19
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group A. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group A squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
MEX · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Mexico
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
| Key players | Raúl Alonso Jiménez Rodríguez · FW · Fulham FC (ENG) · 128 caps · 46 goals Francisco Guillermo Ochoa Magaña · GK · AEL Limassol (CYP) · 153 caps · 0 goals Jesús Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos · DF · Deportivo Toluca FC (MEX) · 124 caps · 3 goals Orbelín Pineda Alvarado · MF · AEK Athens (GRE) · 93 caps · 12 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Francisco Guillermo Ochoa Magaña · GK · AEL Limassol (CYP) · 153 caps · 0 goals Jesús Daniel Gallardo Vasconcelos · DF · Deportivo Toluca FC (MEX) · 124 caps · 3 goals Edson Omar Álvarez Velázquez · DF · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 101 caps · 7 goals César Jasib Montes Castro · DF · FC Lokomotiv Moscow (RUS) · 69 caps · 4 goals Jorge Eduardo Sánchez Ramos · DF · PAOK Saloniki (GRE) · 60 caps · 3 goals Orbelín Pineda Alvarado · MF · AEK Athens (GRE) · 93 caps · 12 goals Luis Francisco Romo Barrón · MF · CD Guadalajara (MEX) · 63 caps · 5 goals Luis Gerardo Chávez Magallón · MF · FC Dynamo Moscow (RUS) · 46 caps · 5 goals Raúl Alonso Jiménez Rodríguez · FW · Fulham FC (ENG) · 128 caps · 46 goals Roberto Carlos Alvarado Hernández · FW · CD Guadalajara (MEX) · 70 caps · 6 goals Ernesto Alexis Vega Rojas · FW · Deportivo Toluca FC (MEX) · 53 caps · 7 goals |
| Bench depth | Santiago Tomás Gimenez · FW · AC Milan (ITA) · 48 caps · 6 goals Johan Felipe Vásquez Ibarra · DF · Genoa CFC (ITA) · 48 caps · 3 goals Israel Reyes Romero · DF · Club América (MEX) · 36 caps · 2 goals César Saúl Huerta Valera · FW · RSC Anderlecht (BEL) · 27 caps · 3 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 7 / MF: 8 / FW: 8 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
KOR · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
South Korea
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
| Key players | Heung Min Son · FW · LAFC (USA) · 146 caps · 56 goals Jae Sung Lee · MF · 1. FSV Mainz 05 (GER) · 107 caps · 15 goals Hee Chan Hwang · MF · Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (ENG) · 81 caps · 17 goals Inbeom Hwang · MF · Feyenoord Rotterdam (NED) · 75 caps · 7 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Seunggyu Kim · GK · FC Tokyo (JPN) · 88 caps · 0 goals Minjae Kim · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 81 caps · 4 goals Moonhwan Kim · DF · Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (KOR) · 37 caps · 0 goals Youngwoo Seol · DF · FK Crvena Zvezda (SRB) · 36 caps · 0 goals Taeseok Lee · DF · FK Austria Wien (AUT) · 16 caps · 1 goals Jae Sung Lee · MF · 1. FSV Mainz 05 (GER) · 107 caps · 15 goals Hee Chan Hwang · MF · Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (ENG) · 81 caps · 17 goals Inbeom Hwang · MF · Feyenoord Rotterdam (NED) · 75 caps · 7 goals Heung Min Son · FW · LAFC (USA) · 146 caps · 56 goals Guesung Cho · FW · FC Midtjylland (DEN) · 45 caps · 12 goals Hyeongyu Oh · FW · Beşiktaş JK (TUR) · 29 caps · 7 goals |
| Bench depth | Kangin Lee · MF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 49 caps · 10 goals Hyeonwoo Jo · GK · Ulsan HD (KOR) · 48 caps · 0 goals Seungho Paik · MF · Birmingham City FC (ENG) · 29 caps · 3 goals Jingyu Kim · MF · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (KOR) · 23 caps · 3 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 11 / FW: 3 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 19, 2026, 03:17 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Conclusion
The final score was 1-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.19.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.