Completed reviews
Tunisia 0-4 Japan Post-Match Analysis
Tunisia vs Japan: quick verdict
Model prefers Japan at 49%, with a 1-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Japan leads Tunisia vs Japan at 49%; full 90-minute split is Tunisia 22%, Draw 28%, Japan 49%; likely score 1-1, total xG 2.11; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Tunisia 22% / Draw 28% / Japan 49%
Who is more likely to winJapan 49%
Win probability49%
Predicted score1-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelMedium upset risk: result path can swing / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionJapan 49%, predicted score 1-1.
Post-match reviewActual 0-4. Direction hit. Score error 4; total-goals error 1.89. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 0-4. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 4, and total-goal error was 1.89.
Model hitHit
Score error4
Goal error1.89
Group impactGroup F
The final score was 0-4. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 4, and total-goal error was 1.89.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 0-4 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 4 |
| Total-goal error | 1.89 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 2.11 |
Actual Result
Tunisia and Japan completed their Group F match on Jun 20, 2026. The final score was 0-4, producing Japan win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Tunisia win 22%, draw 28%, and Japan win 49%. The highest-probability lean was Japan win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Tunisia 0.79 and Japan 1.32, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 4 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.11 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 1.89.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Tunisia 0-4 Japan is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Japan win, the actual result was Japan, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.11, leaving a 1.89 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanJapan win
Actual resultJapan
Score error4
Goal error1.89
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Tunisia 0-4 Japan is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-1, score error was 4, and total-goal error was 1.89; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group F, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup F
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group F. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group F squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
TUN · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Tunisia
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Ellyes Joris Skhiri · MF · Eintracht Frankfurt (GER) · 86 caps · 4 goals Montassar Omar Talbi · DF · FC Lorient (FRA) · 67 caps · 4 goals Ali Elabdi · DF · OGC Nice (FRA) · 49 caps · 7 goals Dylan Daniel Mahmoud Bronn · DF · Servette FC (SUI) · 53 caps · 2 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Aymen Dahmen · GK · CS Sfaxien (TUN) · 39 caps · 0 goals Montassar Omar Talbi · DF · FC Lorient (FRA) · 67 caps · 4 goals Ali Elabdi · DF · OGC Nice (FRA) · 49 caps · 7 goals Dylan Daniel Mahmoud Bronn · DF · Servette FC (SUI) · 53 caps · 2 goals Yan Valery · DF · BSC Young Boys (SUI) · 25 caps · 0 goals Ellyes Joris Skhiri · MF · Eintracht Frankfurt (GER) · 86 caps · 4 goals Anis Ben Slimane · MF · Norwich City FC (ENG) · 43 caps · 4 goals Hannibal Mejbri · MF · Burnley FC (ENG) · 48 caps · 1 goals Firas Chaouat · FW · Club Africain (TUN) · 33 caps · 6 goals Mohamed Elyes Achouri · FW · FC København (DEN) · 33 caps · 5 goals Hazem Mastouri · FW · FC Dynamo Makhachkala (RUS) · 20 caps · 5 goals |
| Bench depth | Elias Saad · FW · Hannover 96 (GER) · 17 caps · 3 goals Ismael Seifallah Gharbi · MF · FC Augsburg (GER) · 20 caps · 2 goals Ahmed Mortadha Ben Ouanes · DF · Kasımpaşa SK (TUR) · 19 caps · 0 goals Sebastian Tounekti · MF · Celtic FC (SCO) · 15 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 10 / MF: 8 / FW: 5 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
JPN · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Japan
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Yuto Nagatomo · DF · FC Tokyo (JPN) · 146 caps · 4 goals Junya Ito · MF · KRC Genk (BEL) · 73 caps · 16 goals Ritsu Doan · MF · Eintracht Frankfurt (GER) · 70 caps · 11 goals Ayase Ueda · FW · Feyenoord Rotterdam (NED) · 44 caps · 18 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Zion Suzuki · GK · Parma (ITA) · 29 caps · 0 goals Yuto Nagatomo · DF · FC Tokyo (JPN) · 146 caps · 4 goals Kou Itakura · DF · AFC Ajax (NED) · 43 caps · 3 goals Takehiro Tomiyasu · DF · AFC Ajax (NED) · 46 caps · 1 goals Shogo Taniguchi · DF · Sint-Truiden VV (BEL) · 42 caps · 1 goals Junya Ito · MF · KRC Genk (BEL) · 73 caps · 16 goals Ritsu Doan · MF · Eintracht Frankfurt (GER) · 70 caps · 11 goals Daichi Kamada · MF · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 53 caps · 14 goals Ayase Ueda · FW · Feyenoord Rotterdam (NED) · 44 caps · 18 goals Koki Ogawa · FW · NEC Nijmegen (NED) · 18 caps · 11 goals Shuto Machino · FW · Borussia Mönchengladbach (GER) · 15 caps · 5 goals |
| Bench depth | Takefusa Kubo · MF · Real Sociedad (ESP) · 50 caps · 7 goals Keito Nakamura · MF · Stade Reims (FRA) · 30 caps · 12 goals Ao Tanaka · MF · Leeds United FC (ENG) · 41 caps · 8 goals Daizen Maeda · MF · Celtic FC (SCO) · 31 caps · 6 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 9 / FW: 5 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Tunisia vs Japan?0-4
The final score was 0-4, and the result is included in the Group F review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Japan win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?4
The predicted score was 1-1; score error across both teams was 4.
What was the total-goal error?1.89
Actual total goals were 4 versus an expectation of about 2.11, leaving a 1.89 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group F
It affects Group F points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 0-4. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 4, and total-goal error was 1.89.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.