Completed reviews
DR Congo 3-1 Uzbekistan Post-Match Analysis
DR Congo vs Uzbekistan: quick verdict
Model prefers Uzbekistan at 35%, with a 1-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Uzbekistan leads DR Congo vs Uzbekistan at 35%; full 90-minute split is DR Congo 32%, Draw 33%, Uzbekistan 35%; likely score 1-1, total xG 1.80; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
DR Congo 32% / Draw 33% / Uzbekistan 35%
Who is more likely to winUzbekistan 35%
Win probability35%
Predicted score1-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelHigh upset risk: no clean model edge / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionUzbekistan 35%, predicted score 1-1.
Post-match reviewActual 3-1. Direction missed. Score error 2; total-goals error 2.20. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 3-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.20.
Model hitMiss
Score error2
Goal error2.20
Group impactGroup K
The final score was 3-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.20.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 3-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Miss |
| Score error | 2 |
| Total-goal error | 2.20 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 1.80 |
Actual Result
DR Congo and Uzbekistan completed their Group K match on Jun 27, 2026. The final score was 3-1, producing DR Congo win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were DR Congo win 32%, draw 33%, and Uzbekistan win 35%. The highest-probability lean was Uzbekistan win, and the result call missed.
Expected goals were DR Congo 0.87 and Uzbekistan 0.93, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 1.80 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 2.20.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
DR Congo 3-1 Uzbekistan is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Uzbekistan win, the actual result was DR Congo, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 1.80, leaving a 2.20 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanUzbekistan win
Actual resultDR Congo
Score error2
Goal error2.20
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
DR Congo 3-1 Uzbekistan is mainly a result direction missed review. The projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.20; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group K, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction missed
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup K
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group K. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group K squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
COD · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
DR Congo
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Cedric Bakambu · FW · Real Betis (ESP) · 73 caps · 21 goals Mangulu Chancel Mbemba · DF · Lille OSC (FRA) · 113 caps · 7 goals Meschack Lina Elia · FW · Alanyaspor (TUR) · 70 caps · 12 goals Yoane Wissa · FW · Newcastle United FC (ENG) · 42 caps · 11 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Lionel Nzau Mpasi · GK · Le Havre AC (FRA) · 32 caps · 0 goals Mangulu Chancel Mbemba · DF · Lille OSC (FRA) · 113 caps · 7 goals Arthur Fuka Masuaku Kawela · DF · RC Lens (FRA) · 48 caps · 4 goals Joris Kayembe-ditu · DF · KRC Genk (BEL) · 30 caps · 1 goals Gédéon Tchingoma Kyatengwa Kalulu · DF · Aris Limassol FC (CYP) · 29 caps · 0 goals Samuel Alain Moutoussamy · MF · Atromitos FC (GRE) · 62 caps · 0 goals Theo Mbulofeko Batombo Bongonda · MF · FC Spartak Moscow (RUS) · 40 caps · 7 goals Edo Kayembe Kayembe · MF · Watford FC (ENG) · 45 caps · 2 goals Cedric Bakambu · FW · Real Betis (ESP) · 73 caps · 21 goals Meschack Lina Elia · FW · Alanyaspor (TUR) · 70 caps · 12 goals Yoane Wissa · FW · Newcastle United FC (ENG) · 42 caps · 11 goals |
| Bench depth | Mayele Fiston Kalala · FW · Pyramids FC (EGY) · 38 caps · 6 goals Mambenga Gaël Roméo Kakuta · FW · AEL FC (GRE) · 31 caps · 5 goals Charles Monginda Pickel · MF · RCD Espanyol (ESP) · 36 caps · 1 goals Nathanaël Mbuku · MF · Montpellier HSC (FRA) · 22 caps · 2 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 8 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
UZB · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Uzbekistan
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Eldor Shomurodov · FW · Başakşehir FK (TUR) · 96 caps · 45 goals Igor Sergeev · FW · Persepolis FC (IRN) · 88 caps · 25 goals Otabek Shukurov · MF · Baniyas Club (UAE) · 93 caps · 10 goals Odiljon Xamrobekov · MF · Tractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN) · 78 caps · 1 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Utkir Yusupov · GK · PFC Navbahor Namangan (UZB) · 46 caps · 0 goals Farrukh Sayfiev · DF · FK Neftchi Farg'ona (UZB) · 72 caps · 1 goals Khojiakbar Alijonov · DF · Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (UZB) · 54 caps · 3 goals Rustamjon Ashurmatov · DF · Esteghlal Tehran FC (IRN) · 54 caps · 1 goals Sherzod Nasrullaev · DF · Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (UZB) · 43 caps · 2 goals Otabek Shukurov · MF · Baniyas Club (UAE) · 93 caps · 10 goals Odiljon Xamrobekov · MF · Tractor Sazi Tabriz FC (IRN) · 78 caps · 1 goals Oston Urunov · MF · Persepolis FC (IRN) · 47 caps · 10 goals Eldor Shomurodov · FW · Başakşehir FK (TUR) · 96 caps · 45 goals Igor Sergeev · FW · Persepolis FC (IRN) · 88 caps · 25 goals Azizbek Amonov · FW · FK Dinamo Samarkand (UZB) · 14 caps · 2 goals |
| Bench depth | Abbosbek Fayzullaev · MF · Başakşehir FK (TUR) · 35 caps · 9 goals Jamshid Iskanderov · MF · FK Neftchi Farg'ona (UZB) · 47 caps · 4 goals Dostonbek Khamdamov · MF · Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (UZB) · 39 caps · 5 goals Umarbek Eshmurodov · DF · Nasaf Qarshi FC (UZB) · 40 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 10 / MF: 10 / FW: 3 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for DR Congo vs Uzbekistan?3-1
The final score was 3-1, and the result is included in the Group K review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Miss
The pre-match lean was Uzbekistan win, and the result direction missed.
What was the score error?2
The predicted score was 1-1; score error across both teams was 2.
What was the total-goal error?2.20
Actual total goals were 4 versus an expectation of about 1.80, leaving a 2.20 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group K
It affects Group K points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 3-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.20.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.