Completed reviews
Canada 1-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina Post-Match Analysis
Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: quick verdict
Model prefers Canada at 66%, with a 2-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Canada leads Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina at 66%; full 90-minute split is Canada 66%, Draw 21%, Bosnia and Herzegovina 13%; likely score 2-1, total xG 2.63; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Canada 66% / Draw 21% / Bosnia and Herzegovina 13%
Who is more likely to winCanada 66%
Win probability66%
Predicted score2-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelLow upset risk: model lean is clear / Medium goal risk: leans 2-3 goals / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionCanada 66%, predicted score 2-1.
Post-match reviewActual 1-1. Direction missed. Score error 1; total-goals error 0.63. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.63.
Model hitMiss
Score error1
Goal error0.63
Group impactGroup B
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.63.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 2-1 |
| Model direction | Miss |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 0.63 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 2 / 2.63 |
Actual Result
Canada and Bosnia and Herzegovina completed their Group B match on Jun 12, 2026. The final score was 1-1, producing a draw.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Canada win 66%, draw 21%, and Bosnia and Herzegovina win 13%. The highest-probability lean was Canada win, and the result call missed.
Expected goals were Canada 1.91 and Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.72, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.63 total goals, while the match produced 2. Total-goal error was 0.63.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Canada 1-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Canada win, the actual result was draw, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 2 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.63, leaving a 0.63 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanCanada win
Actual resultdraw
Score error1
Goal error0.63
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Canada 1-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina is mainly a result direction missed review. The projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.63; the goal tempo stayed close to the model expectation. For Group B, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction missed
Goal tempothe goal tempo stayed close to the model expectation
StageGroup B
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group B. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group B squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
CAN · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Canada
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Jonathan Christian David · FW · Juventus FC (ITA) · 82 caps · 42 goals Cyle Christopher Larin · FW · Southampton FC (ENG) · 94 caps · 32 goals Jonathan Osorio · MF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 93 caps · 10 goals Alphonso Boyle Davies · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 59 caps · 15 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Maxime Crépeau · GK · Orlando City SC (USA) · 37 caps · 0 goals Alphonso Boyle Davies · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 59 caps · 15 goals Richmond Mamah Laryea · DF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 81 caps · 1 goals Alistair William Johnston · DF · Celtic FC (SCO) · 63 caps · 1 goals Derek Austin Cornelius · DF · Rangers FC (SCO) · 48 caps · 1 goals Jonathan Osorio · MF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 93 caps · 10 goals Stephen Eustaquio · MF · LAFC (USA) · 61 caps · 5 goals Ismaël Kenneth Jordan Kone · MF · US Sassuolo (ITA) · 42 caps · 4 goals Jonathan Christian David · FW · Juventus FC (ITA) · 82 caps · 42 goals Cyle Christopher Larin · FW · Southampton FC (ENG) · 94 caps · 32 goals Tajon Trevor Buchanan · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 65 caps · 8 goals |
| Bench depth | Jacob Everett Shaffelburg · MF · LAFC (USA) · 36 caps · 6 goals Liam Alan Millar · MF · Hull City FC (ENG) · 44 caps · 1 goals Tanitoluwa Oluwatimilehin Oluwaseyi · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 29 caps · 2 goals Ali Ahmed · FW · Norwich City FC (ENG) · 28 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 7 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
BIH · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Bosnia and Herzegovina
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Edin Džeko · FW · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 151 caps · 73 goals Sead Kolašinac · DF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 69 caps · 0 goals Ermedin Demirović · FW · VfB Stuttgart (GER) · 44 caps · 4 goals Benjamin Tahirovic · MF · Brøndby IF (DEN) · 32 caps · 2 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Nikola Vasilj · GK · FC St. Pauli (GER) · 30 caps · 0 goals Sead Kolašinac · DF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 69 caps · 0 goals Amar Dedić · DF · SL Benca (POR) · 31 caps · 1 goals Dennis Hadžikadunić · DF · UC Sampdoria (ITA) · 33 caps · 0 goals Nikola Katić · DF · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 21 caps · 2 goals Benjamin Tahirovic · MF · Brøndby IF (DEN) · 32 caps · 2 goals Amir Hadžiahmetović · MF · Hull City FC (ENG) · 37 caps · 0 goals Armin Gigović · MF · BSC Young Boys (SUI) · 22 caps · 1 goals Edin Džeko · FW · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 151 caps · 73 goals Ermedin Demirović · FW · VfB Stuttgart (GER) · 44 caps · 4 goals Esmir Bajraktarević · FW · PSV Eindhoven (NED) · 20 caps · 1 goals |
| Bench depth | Haris Tabaković · FW · Borussia Mönchengladbach (GER) · 11 caps · 4 goals Dženis Burnić · MF · Karlsruher SC (GER) · 22 caps · 0 goals Kerim Alajbegović · FW · FC Red Bull Salzburg (AUT) · 14 caps · 2 goals Ivan Bašić · MF · FC Astana (KAZ) · 20 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 8 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?1-1
The final score was 1-1, and the result is included in the Group B review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Miss
The pre-match lean was Canada win, and the result direction missed.
What was the score error?1
The predicted score was 2-1; score error across both teams was 1.
What was the total-goal error?0.63
Actual total goals were 2 versus an expectation of about 2.63, leaving a 0.63 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group B
It affects Group B points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 0.63.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.