Completed reviews

Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina Post-Match Analysis

Jun 18, 2026 · Group B · Completed-match forecast review

Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: quick verdict

Model prefers Switzerland at 66%, with a 2-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.

AI citation: Switzerland leads Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina at 66%; full 90-minute split is Switzerland 66%, Draw 20%, Bosnia and Herzegovina 14%; likely score 2-1, total xG 2.83; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.

Switzerland 66% / Draw 20% / Bosnia and Herzegovina 14%
Who is more likely to winSwitzerland 66%
Win probability66%
Predicted score2-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelLow upset risk: model lean is clear / Medium goal risk: leans 2-3 goals / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionSwitzerland 66%, predicted score 2-1.
Post-match reviewActual 4-1. Direction hit. Score error 2; total-goals error 2.17. Group impact: review the linked standings path.

Key Takeaway

The final score was 4-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.17.

Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error2.17
Group impactGroup B

The final score was 4-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.17.

4-1Final score
Switzerland winModel lean · 66%
2-1Predicted score

Post-Match Data Summary

Final score4-1
Pre-match predicted score2-1
Model directionHit
Score error2
Total-goal error2.17
Actual vs expected goals5 / 2.83

Actual Result

Switzerland and Bosnia and Herzegovina completed their Group B match on Jun 18, 2026. The final score was 4-1, producing Switzerland win.

Pre-Match Forecast Review

The pre-match probabilities were Switzerland win 66%, draw 20%, and Bosnia and Herzegovina win 14%. The highest-probability lean was Switzerland win, and the result call hit.

Expected goals were Switzerland 2.03 and Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.80, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).

Goals Review

The model expected about 2.83 total goals, while the match produced 5. Total-goal error was 2.17.

Model Backtest Learning Notes

Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Switzerland win, the actual result was Switzerland, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 5 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.83, leaving a 2.17 total-goal error.

Pre-match leanSwitzerland win
Actual resultSwitzerland
Score error2
Goal error2.17

Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact

Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 2-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.17; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group B, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.

Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup B
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation

Group Impact

This match counts toward Group B. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.

Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability

This module uses the official FIFA Group B squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.

SUI · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

Switzerland

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersGranit Xhaka · MF · Sunderland AFC (ENG) · 152 caps · 18 goals
Breel Donald Embolo · FW · Stade Rennais FC (FRA) · 92 caps · 26 goals
Ricardo Ivan Rodriguez Araya · DF · Real Betis (ESP) · 144 caps · 9 goals
Remo Marco Freuler · MF · Bologna FC (ITA) · 94 caps · 11 goals
Likely XI candidatesGregor Kobel · GK · Borussia Dortmund (GER) · 27 caps · 0 goals
Ricardo Ivan Rodriguez Araya · DF · Real Betis (ESP) · 144 caps · 9 goals
Manuel Obafemi Akanji · DF · FC Internazionale Milano (ITA) · 87 caps · 4 goals
Nico Elvedi · DF · Borussia Mönchengladbach (GER) · 73 caps · 3 goals
Silvan Dominic Widmer · DF · 1. FSV Mainz 05 (GER) · 65 caps · 5 goals
Granit Xhaka · MF · Sunderland AFC (ENG) · 152 caps · 18 goals
Remo Marco Freuler · MF · Bologna FC (ITA) · 94 caps · 11 goals
Denis Lemi Zakaria Lako Lado · MF · AS Monaco (FRA) · 69 caps · 3 goals
Breel Donald Embolo · FW · Stade Rennais FC (FRA) · 92 caps · 26 goals
Ruben Estephan Vargas Martinez · FW · Sevilla FC (ESP) · 67 caps · 13 goals
Dan Ndoye · FW · Nottingham Forest FC (ENG) · 37 caps · 10 goals
Bench depthMohamed Zeki Amdouni · FW · Burnley FC (ENG) · 33 caps · 11 goals
Mohameth Djibril Ibrahima Sow · MF · Sevilla FC (ESP) · 56 caps · 0 goals
Michel Aebischer · MF · Pisa SC (ITA) · 44 caps · 2 goals
Christian Andreas Fassnacht · FW · BSC Young Boys (SUI) · 24 caps · 5 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 8 / FW: 7
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

BIH · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

Bosnia and Herzegovina

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersEdin Džeko · FW · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 151 caps · 73 goals
Sead Kolašinac · DF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 69 caps · 0 goals
Ermedin Demirović · FW · VfB Stuttgart (GER) · 44 caps · 4 goals
Benjamin Tahirovic · MF · Brøndby IF (DEN) · 32 caps · 2 goals
Likely XI candidatesNikola Vasilj · GK · FC St. Pauli (GER) · 30 caps · 0 goals
Sead Kolašinac · DF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 69 caps · 0 goals
Amar Dedić · DF · SL Benca (POR) · 31 caps · 1 goals
Dennis Hadžikadunić · DF · UC Sampdoria (ITA) · 33 caps · 0 goals
Nikola Katić · DF · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 21 caps · 2 goals
Benjamin Tahirovic · MF · Brøndby IF (DEN) · 32 caps · 2 goals
Amir Hadžiahmetović · MF · Hull City FC (ENG) · 37 caps · 0 goals
Armin Gigović · MF · BSC Young Boys (SUI) · 22 caps · 1 goals
Edin Džeko · FW · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 151 caps · 73 goals
Ermedin Demirović · FW · VfB Stuttgart (GER) · 44 caps · 4 goals
Esmir Bajraktarević · FW · PSV Eindhoven (NED) · 20 caps · 1 goals
Bench depthHaris Tabaković · FW · Borussia Mönchengladbach (GER) · 11 caps · 4 goals
Dženis Burnić · MF · Karlsruher SC (GER) · 22 caps · 0 goals
Kerim Alajbegović · FW · FC Red Bull Salzburg (AUT) · 14 caps · 2 goals
Ivan Bašić · MF · FC Astana (KAZ) · 20 caps · 0 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 8 / FW: 7
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

Trust & Transparency

Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only

Similar match paths

FAQ

What was the final score for Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina?4-1

The final score was 4-1, and the result is included in the Group B review.

Did the model hit the result direction?Hit

The pre-match lean was Switzerland win, and the result direction hit.

What was the score error?2

The predicted score was 2-1; score error across both teams was 2.

What was the total-goal error?2.17

Actual total goals were 5 versus an expectation of about 2.83, leaving a 2.17 total-goal error.

How does this affect the group?Group B

It affects Group B points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.

Is this review betting advice?No

This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.

Conclusion

The final score was 4-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.17.

For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.