Completed reviews
Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina Post-Match Analysis
Key Takeaway
The final score was 4-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.17.
Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error2.17
Group impactGroup B
The final score was 4-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.17.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 4-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 2-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 2 |
| Total-goal error | 2.17 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 5 / 2.83 |
Actual Result
Switzerland and Bosnia and Herzegovina completed their Group B match on Jun 18, 2026. The final score was 4-1, producing Switzerland win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Switzerland win 66%, draw 20%, and Bosnia and Herzegovina win 14%. The highest-probability lean was Switzerland win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Switzerland 2.03 and Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.80, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.83 total goals, while the match produced 5. Total-goal error was 2.17.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia and Herzegovina is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Switzerland win, the actual result was Switzerland, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 5 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.83, leaving a 2.17 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanSwitzerland win
Actual resultSwitzerland
Score error2
Goal error2.17
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group B. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group B squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
SUI · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Switzerland
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
| Key players | Granit Xhaka · MF · Sunderland AFC (ENG) · 148 caps · 18 goals Ricardo Ivan Rodriguez Araya · DF · Real Betis (ESP) · 140 caps · 9 goals Breel Donald Embolo · FW · Stade Rennais FC (FRA) · 88 caps · 25 goals Remo Marco Freuler · MF · Bologna FC (ITA) · 90 caps · 11 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Gregor Kobel · GK · Borussia Dortmund (GER) · 23 caps · 0 goals Ricardo Ivan Rodriguez Araya · DF · Real Betis (ESP) · 140 caps · 9 goals Manuel Obafemi Akanji · DF · FC Internazionale Milano (ITA) · 83 caps · 4 goals Nico Elvedi · DF · Borussia Mönchengladbach (GER) · 69 caps · 3 goals Silvan Dominic Widmer · DF · 1. FSV Mainz 05 (GER) · 61 caps · 5 goals Granit Xhaka · MF · Sunderland AFC (ENG) · 148 caps · 18 goals Remo Marco Freuler · MF · Bologna FC (ITA) · 90 caps · 11 goals Denis Lemi Zakaria Lako Lado · MF · AS Monaco (FRA) · 66 caps · 3 goals Breel Donald Embolo · FW · Stade Rennais FC (FRA) · 88 caps · 25 goals Ruben Estephan Vargas Martinez · FW · Sevilla FC (ESP) · 63 caps · 12 goals Mohamed Zeki Amdouni · FW · Burnley FC (ENG) · 30 caps · 11 goals |
| Bench depth | Dan Ndoye · FW · Nottingham Forest FC (ENG) · 33 caps · 8 goals Mohameth Djibril Ibrahima Sow · MF · Sevilla FC (ESP) · 53 caps · 0 goals Michel Aebischer · MF · Pisa SC (ITA) · 42 caps · 2 goals Christian Andreas Fassnacht · FW · BSC Young Boys (SUI) · 23 caps · 5 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 8 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
BIH · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Bosnia and Herzegovina
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
| Key players | Edin Džeko · FW · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 149 caps · 73 goals Sead Kolašinac · DF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 67 caps · 0 goals Ermedin Demirović · FW · VfB Stuttgart (GER) · 42 caps · 4 goals Amir Hadžiahmetović · MF · Hull City FC (ENG) · 37 caps · 0 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Nikola Vasilj · GK · FC St. Pauli (GER) · 28 caps · 0 goals Sead Kolašinac · DF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 67 caps · 0 goals Amar Dedić · DF · SL Benca (POR) · 30 caps · 1 goals Dennis Hadžikadunić · DF · UC Sampdoria (ITA) · 32 caps · 0 goals Nikola Katić · DF · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 19 caps · 2 goals Amir Hadžiahmetović · MF · Hull City FC (ENG) · 37 caps · 0 goals Benjamin Tahirovic · MF · Brøndby IF (DEN) · 30 caps · 2 goals Armin Gigović · MF · BSC Young Boys (SUI) · 21 caps · 1 goals Edin Džeko · FW · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 149 caps · 73 goals Ermedin Demirović · FW · VfB Stuttgart (GER) · 42 caps · 4 goals Haris Tabaković · FW · Borussia Mönchengladbach (GER) · 10 caps · 4 goals |
| Bench depth | Esmir Bajraktarević · FW · PSV Eindhoven (NED) · 18 caps · 1 goals Dženis Burnić · MF · Karlsruher SC (GER) · 21 caps · 0 goals Ivan Bašić · MF · FC Astana (KAZ) · 19 caps · 0 goals Tarik Muharemović · DF · US Sassuolo (ITA) · 16 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 8 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 19, 2026, 03:17 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Conclusion
The final score was 4-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.17.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.