Completed reviews
Canada 6-0 Qatar Post-Match Analysis
Key Takeaway
The final score was 6-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 5, and total-goal error was 2.83.
Model hitHit
Score error5
Goal error2.83
Group impactGroup B
The final score was 6-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 5, and total-goal error was 2.83.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 6-0 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 2-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 5 |
| Total-goal error | 2.83 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 6 / 3.17 |
Actual Result
Canada and Qatar completed their Group B match on Jun 18, 2026. The final score was 6-0, producing Canada win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Canada win 74%, draw 16%, and Qatar win 10%. The highest-probability lean was Canada win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Canada 2.43 and Qatar 0.75, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 5 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 3.17 total goals, while the match produced 6. Total-goal error was 2.83.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Canada 6-0 Qatar is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Canada win, the actual result was Canada, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 6 versus a pre-match expectation of about 3.17, leaving a 2.83 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanCanada win
Actual resultCanada
Score error5
Goal error2.83
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group B. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group B squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
CAN · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Canada
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
| Key players | Jonathan Christian David · FW · Juventus FC (ITA) · 79 caps · 42 goals Cyle Christopher Larin · FW · Southampton FC (ENG) · 92 caps · 32 goals Jonathan Osorio · MF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 92 caps · 10 goals Alphonso Boyle Davies · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 58 caps · 15 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Maxime Crépeau · GK · Orlando City SC (USA) · 34 caps · 0 goals Alphonso Boyle Davies · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 58 caps · 15 goals Richmond Mamah Laryea · DF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 78 caps · 1 goals Alistair William Johnston · DF · Celtic FC (SCO) · 60 caps · 1 goals Derek Austin Cornelius · DF · Rangers FC (SCO) · 46 caps · 1 goals Jonathan Osorio · MF · Toronto FC (CAN) · 92 caps · 10 goals Stephen Eustaquio · MF · LAFC (USA) · 58 caps · 4 goals Ismaël Kenneth Jordan Kone · MF · US Sassuolo (ITA) · 42 caps · 4 goals Jonathan Christian David · FW · Juventus FC (ITA) · 79 caps · 42 goals Cyle Christopher Larin · FW · Southampton FC (ENG) · 92 caps · 32 goals Tajon Trevor Buchanan · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 62 caps · 8 goals |
| Bench depth | Jacob Everett Shaffelburg · MF · LAFC (USA) · 33 caps · 6 goals Liam Alan Millar · MF · Hull City FC (ENG) · 42 caps · 1 goals Tanitoluwa Oluwatimilehin Oluwaseyi · FW · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 26 caps · 2 goals Ali Ahmed · FW · Norwich City FC (ENG) · 26 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 7 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
QAT · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Qatar
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
| Key players | Hasan Khalid H Alhaydos · FW · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 190 caps · 39 goals Almoez Ali Zainelabdeen M Abdulla · FW · Al Duhail SC (QAT) · 128 caps · 58 goals Akram Hassan A Y Afif · FW · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 138 caps · 40 goals Boualem Khoukhi · DF · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 130 caps · 21 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Meshaal Aissa M Barsham · GK · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 60 caps · 0 goals Boualem Khoukhi · DF · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 130 caps · 21 goals Pedro Miguel D D Correia · DF · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 113 caps · 4 goals Homam Elamin M Ahmed · DF · Cultural Leonesa (ESP) · 78 caps · 3 goals Jassem Gaber E Abdulsallam · DF · Al Rayyan SC (QAT) · 39 caps · 1 goals Abdelaziz Hatim A Mohamed · MF · Al Rayyan SC (QAT) · 132 caps · 11 goals Karim Boudiaf · MF · Al Duhail SC (QAT) · 129 caps · 6 goals Assim Omer A Madibo · MF · Al Wakrah SC (QAT) · 66 caps · 0 goals Hasan Khalid H Alhaydos · FW · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 190 caps · 39 goals Almoez Ali Zainelabdeen M Abdulla · FW · Al Duhail SC (QAT) · 128 caps · 58 goals Akram Hassan A Y Afif · FW · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 138 caps · 40 goals |
| Bench depth | Mohammed Muntari · FW · Al Gharafa SC (QAT) · 74 caps · 17 goals Ahmed Alaaeldin B M Abdelmotaal · FW · Al Rayyan SC (QAT) · 78 caps · 10 goals Yusuf Abdurisag Yusuf · FW · Al Wakrah SC (QAT) · 46 caps · 3 goals Ahmed Fathy M Abdoulla · MF · Al Arabi SC (QAT) · 56 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 5 / FW: 9 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 19, 2026, 03:30 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Conclusion
The final score was 6-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 5, and total-goal error was 2.83.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.