Completed reviews
Qatar 1-1 Switzerland Post-Match Analysis
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-3, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.41.
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-3, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.41.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-3 |
| Model direction | Miss |
| Score error | 2 |
| Total-goal error | 1.41 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 2 / 3.41 |
Actual Result
Qatar and Switzerland completed their Group B match on Jun 13, 2026. The final score was 1-1, producing a draw.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Qatar win 10%, draw 15%, and Switzerland win 75%. The highest-probability lean was Switzerland win, and the result call missed.
Expected goals were Qatar 0.83 and Switzerland 2.59, which rounded to a 1-3 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 3.41 total goals, while the match produced 2. Total-goal error was 1.41.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Qatar 1-1 Switzerland is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Switzerland win, the actual result was draw, and the projected score was 1-3. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 2 versus a pre-match expectation of about 3.41, leaving a 1.41 total-goal error.
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group B. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Trust & Transparency
Conclusion
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-3, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.41.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.