Completed reviews
Brazil 1-1 Morocco Post-Match Analysis
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 0, and total-goal error was 0.07.
Model hitMiss
Score error0
Goal error0.07
Group impactGroup C
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 0, and total-goal error was 0.07.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Miss |
| Score error | 0 |
| Total-goal error | 0.07 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 2 / 1.93 |
Actual Result
Brazil and Morocco completed their Group C match on Jun 13, 2026. The final score was 1-1, producing a draw.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Brazil win 49%, draw 30%, and Morocco win 21%. The highest-probability lean was Brazil win, and the result call missed.
Expected goals were Brazil 1.24 and Morocco 0.70, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 0 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 1.93 total goals, while the match produced 2. Total-goal error was 0.07.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Brazil 1-1 Morocco is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Brazil win, the actual result was draw, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 2 versus a pre-match expectation of about 1.93, leaving a 0.07 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanBrazil win
Actual resultdraw
Score error0
Goal error0.07
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group C. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 18, 2026, 12:27 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Conclusion
The final score was 1-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 0, and total-goal error was 0.07.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.