Completed reviews

Haiti 0-1 Scotland Post-Match Analysis

Jun 13, 2026 · Group C · Completed-match forecast review

Haiti vs Scotland: quick verdict

Model prefers Scotland at 59%, with a 1-2 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.

AI citation: Scotland leads Haiti vs Scotland at 59%; full 90-minute split is Haiti 20%, Draw 22%, Scotland 59%; likely score 1-2, total xG 3.02; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.

Haiti 20% / Draw 22% / Scotland 59%
Who is more likely to winScotland 59%
Win probability59%
Predicted score1-2Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelLow upset risk: model lean is clear / High goal risk: open scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionScotland 59%, predicted score 1-2.
Post-match reviewActual 0-1. Direction hit. Score error 2; total-goals error 2.02. Group impact: review the linked standings path.

Key Takeaway

The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.02.

Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error2.02
Group impactGroup C

The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.02.

0-1Final score
Scotland winModel lean · 59%
1-2Predicted score

Post-Match Data Summary

Final score0-1
Pre-match predicted score1-2
Model directionHit
Score error2
Total-goal error2.02
Actual vs expected goals1 / 3.02

Actual Result

Haiti and Scotland completed their Group C match on Jun 13, 2026. The final score was 0-1, producing Scotland win.

Pre-Match Forecast Review

The pre-match probabilities were Haiti win 20%, draw 22%, and Scotland win 59%. The highest-probability lean was Scotland win, and the result call hit.

Expected goals were Haiti 1.05 and Scotland 1.97, which rounded to a 1-2 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).

Goals Review

The model expected about 3.02 total goals, while the match produced 1. Total-goal error was 2.02.

Model Backtest Learning Notes

Haiti 0-1 Scotland is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Scotland win, the actual result was Scotland, and the projected score was 1-2. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 1 versus a pre-match expectation of about 3.02, leaving a 2.02 total-goal error.

Pre-match leanScotland win
Actual resultScotland
Score error2
Goal error2.02

Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact

Haiti 0-1 Scotland is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.02; the match played tighter than the model expected. For Group C, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.

Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played tighter than the model expected
StageGroup C
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation

Group Impact

This match counts toward Group C. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.

Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability

This module uses the official FIFA Group C squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.

HAI · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

Haiti

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersDuckens Nazon · FW · Esteghlal Tehran FC (IRN) · 84 caps · 44 goals
Frantzdy Pierrot · FW · Çaykur Rizespor (TUR) · 56 caps · 34 goals
Johny Placide · GK · SC Bastia (FRA) · 86 caps · 0 goals
Derrick Burckley Etienne Jr · FW · Toronto FC (CAN) · 51 caps · 8 goals
Likely XI candidatesJohny Placide · GK · SC Bastia (FRA) · 86 caps · 0 goals
Ricardo Ade · DF · LDU Quito (ECU) · 64 caps · 2 goals
Carlens Jean Fedlaire Ruby Arcus · DF · Angers SCO (FRA) · 59 caps · 1 goals
Markhus Lacroix · DF · Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC (USA) · 16 caps · 3 goals
Martin Yves Roberns Didier Experience · DF · AS Nancy (FRA) · 24 caps · 0 goals
Danley Jean Jacques · MF · Philadelphia Union (USA) · 34 caps · 6 goals
Carl Fred Sainte · MF · El Paso Locomotive FC (USA) · 26 caps · 0 goals
Jean Ricner Bellegarde · MF · Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (ENG) · 13 caps · 0 goals
Duckens Nazon · FW · Esteghlal Tehran FC (IRN) · 84 caps · 44 goals
Frantzdy Pierrot · FW · Çaykur Rizespor (TUR) · 56 caps · 34 goals
Derrick Burckley Etienne Jr · FW · Toronto FC (CAN) · 51 caps · 8 goals
Bench depthDon Deedson Louicius · FW · FC Dallas (USA) · 35 caps · 10 goals
Ruben Fritzner Providence · FW · Almere City FC (NED) · 18 caps · 3 goals
Jean-Kévin Duverne · DF · KAA Gent (BEL) · 19 caps · 1 goals
Alexandre Jr Pierre · GK · FC Sochaux-Montbéliard (FRA) · 17 caps · 0 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 5 / FW: 9
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

SCO · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

Scotland

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersJohn Mcginn · MF · Aston Villa FC (ENG) · 89 caps · 21 goals
Scott Francis Mctominay · MF · SSC Napoli (ITA) · 73 caps · 15 goals
Andrew Henry Robertson · DF · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 97 caps · 4 goals
Ryan Christie · MF · AFC Bournemouth (ENG) · 71 caps · 10 goals
Likely XI candidatesCraig Sinclair Gordon · GK · Heart Of Midlothian FC (SCO) · 84 caps · 0 goals
Andrew Henry Robertson · DF · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 97 caps · 4 goals
Grant Campbell Hanley · DF · Hibernian FC (SCO) · 70 caps · 2 goals
Kieran Tierney · DF · Celtic FC (SCO) · 58 caps · 2 goals
Scott Fraser Mckenna · DF · GNK Dinamo Zagreb (CRO) · 51 caps · 1 goals
John Mcginn · MF · Aston Villa FC (ENG) · 89 caps · 21 goals
Scott Francis Mctominay · MF · SSC Napoli (ITA) · 73 caps · 15 goals
Ryan Christie · MF · AFC Bournemouth (ENG) · 71 caps · 10 goals
Che Sac Everton Fred Adams · FW · Torino FC (ITA) · 50 caps · 13 goals
Lyndon John Dykes · FW · Charlton Athletic FC (ENG) · 53 caps · 10 goals
Lawrence Shankland · FW · Heart Of Midlothian FC (SCO) · 22 caps · 7 goals
Bench depthKenneth Mclean · MF · Norwich City FC (ENG) · 61 caps · 3 goals
Jack William Hendry · DF · Al Ettifaq FC (KSA) · 41 caps · 3 goals
Nathan Kenneth Patterson · DF · Everton FC (ENG) · 29 caps · 1 goals
Anthony Ralston · DF · Celtic FC (SCO) · 29 caps · 1 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 10 / MF: 6 / FW: 7
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

Trust & Transparency

Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only

Similar match paths

FAQ

What was the final score for Haiti vs Scotland?0-1

The final score was 0-1, and the result is included in the Group C review.

Did the model hit the result direction?Hit

The pre-match lean was Scotland win, and the result direction hit.

What was the score error?2

The predicted score was 1-2; score error across both teams was 2.

What was the total-goal error?2.02

Actual total goals were 1 versus an expectation of about 3.02, leaving a 2.02 total-goal error.

How does this affect the group?Group C

It affects Group C points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.

Is this review betting advice?No

This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.

Conclusion

The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.02.

For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.