Completed reviews

Scotland 0-1 Morocco Post-Match Analysis

Jun 19, 2026 · Group C · Completed-match forecast review

Scotland vs Morocco: quick verdict

Model prefers Morocco at 55%, with a 1-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.

AI citation: Morocco is the model lean at 55%; likely score path 1-1.

Scotland 18% / Draw 27% / Morocco 55%
Who is more likely to winMorocco 55%
Win probability55%
Predicted score1-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelMedium upset risk: result path can swing / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJun 20, 2026, 11:13 PM
Pre-match predictionMorocco 55%, predicted score 1-1.
Post-match reviewActual 0-1. Direction hit. Score error 1; total-goals error 1.12. Group impact: review the linked standings path.

Key Takeaway

The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.12.

Model hitHit
Score error1
Goal error1.12
Group impactGroup C

The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.12.

0-1Final score
Morocco winModel lean · 55%
1-1Predicted score

Post-Match Data Summary

Final score0-1
Pre-match predicted score1-1
Model directionHit
Score error1
Total-goal error1.12
Actual vs expected goals1 / 2.12

Actual Result

Scotland and Morocco completed their Group C match on Jun 19, 2026. The final score was 0-1, producing Morocco win.

Pre-Match Forecast Review

The pre-match probabilities were Scotland win 18%, draw 27%, and Morocco win 55%. The highest-probability lean was Morocco win, and the result call hit.

Expected goals were Scotland 0.68 and Morocco 1.44, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).

Goals Review

The model expected about 2.12 total goals, while the match produced 1. Total-goal error was 1.12.

Model Backtest Learning Notes

Scotland 0-1 Morocco is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Morocco win, the actual result was Morocco, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 1 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.12, leaving a 1.12 total-goal error.

Pre-match leanMorocco win
Actual resultMorocco
Score error1
Goal error1.12

Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact

Scotland 0-1 Morocco is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.12; the match played tighter than the model expected. For Group C, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.

Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played tighter than the model expected
GroupGroup C
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation

Group Impact

This match counts toward Group C. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.

Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability

This module uses the official FIFA Group C squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.

SCO · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

Scotland

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersJohn Mcginn · MF · Aston Villa FC (ENG) · 88 caps · 21 goals
Scott Francis Mctominay · MF · SSC Napoli (ITA) · 72 caps · 15 goals
Andrew Henry Robertson · DF · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 96 caps · 4 goals
Ryan Christie · MF · AFC Bournemouth (ENG) · 70 caps · 10 goals
Likely XI candidatesCraig Sinclair Gordon · GK · Heart Of Midlothian FC (SCO) · 84 caps · 0 goals
Andrew Henry Robertson · DF · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 96 caps · 4 goals
Grant Campbell Hanley · DF · Hibernian FC (SCO) · 70 caps · 2 goals
Kieran Tierney · DF · Celtic FC (SCO) · 57 caps · 2 goals
Scott Fraser Mckenna · DF · GNK Dinamo Zagreb (CRO) · 50 caps · 1 goals
John Mcginn · MF · Aston Villa FC (ENG) · 88 caps · 21 goals
Scott Francis Mctominay · MF · SSC Napoli (ITA) · 72 caps · 15 goals
Ryan Christie · MF · AFC Bournemouth (ENG) · 70 caps · 10 goals
Che Sac Everton Fred Adams · FW · Torino FC (ITA) · 49 caps · 13 goals
Lyndon John Dykes · FW · Charlton Athletic FC (ENG) · 53 caps · 10 goals
Lawrence Shankland · FW · Heart Of Midlothian FC (SCO) · 21 caps · 7 goals
Bench depthKenneth Mclean · MF · Norwich City FC (ENG) · 60 caps · 3 goals
Jack William Hendry · DF · Al Ettifaq FC (KSA) · 40 caps · 3 goals
Nathan Kenneth Patterson · DF · Everton FC (ENG) · 28 caps · 1 goals
Anthony Ralston · DF · Celtic FC (SCO) · 28 caps · 1 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 10 / MF: 6 / FW: 7
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

MAR · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

Morocco

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersAyoub El Kaabi · FW · Olympiacos FC (GRE) · 71 caps · 36 goals
Achraf Hakimi · DF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 98 caps · 11 goals
Yassine Bounou · GK · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 92 caps · 0 goals
Azz-Eddine Ounahi · MF · Girona FC (ESP) · 51 caps · 9 goals
Likely XI candidatesYassine Bounou · GK · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 92 caps · 0 goals
Achraf Hakimi · DF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 98 caps · 11 goals
Noussair Mazraoui · DF · Manchester United FC (ENG) · 47 caps · 2 goals
Marwane Saadane · DF · Al Fateh SC (KSA) · 17 caps · 1 goals
Youssef Belammari · DF · Al Ahly FC (EGY) · 18 caps · 0 goals
Azz-Eddine Ounahi · MF · Girona FC (ESP) · 51 caps · 9 goals
Sofyan Amrabat · MF · Real Betis (ESP) · 75 caps · 0 goals
Ismael Saibari · MF · PSV Eindhoven (NED) · 32 caps · 11 goals
Ayoub El Kaabi · FW · Olympiacos FC (GRE) · 71 caps · 36 goals
Souane Rahimi · FW · Al Ain FC (UAE) · 39 caps · 12 goals
Brahim Abdelkader Diaz · FW · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 28 caps · 15 goals
Bench depthMonir El Kajoui · GK · RS Berkane (MAR) · 52 caps · 0 goals
Bilal El Khannouss · MF · VfB Stuttgart (GER) · 39 caps · 3 goals
Neil Yoni El Aynaoui · MF · AS Roma (ITA) · 18 caps · 2 goals
Chadi Riad · DF · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 8 caps · 1 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 9 / FW: 5
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

Trust & Transparency

Last updatedJun 20, 2026, 11:12 PM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only

Similar match paths

FAQ

What was the final score for Scotland vs Morocco?0-1

The final score was 0-1, and the result is included in the Group C review.

Did the model hit the result direction?Hit

The pre-match lean was Morocco win, and the result direction hit.

What was the score error?1

The predicted score was 1-1; score error across both teams was 1.

What was the total-goal error?1.12

Actual total goals were 1 versus an expectation of about 2.12, leaving a 1.12 total-goal error.

How does this affect the group?Group C

It affects Group C points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.

Is this review betting advice?No

This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.

Conclusion

The final score was 0-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.12.

For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.