Completed reviews

Brazil 3-0 Haiti Post-Match Analysis

Jun 19, 2026 · Group C · Completed-match forecast review

Brazil vs Haiti: quick verdict

Model prefers Brazil at 91%, with a 4-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.

AI citation: Brazil is the model lean at 91%; likely score path 4-1.

Brazil 91% / Draw 6% / Haiti 2%
Who is more likely to winBrazil 91%
Win probability91%
Predicted score4-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelLow upset risk: model lean is clear / High goal risk: open scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJun 20, 2026, 11:13 PM
Pre-match predictionBrazil 91%, predicted score 4-1.
Post-match reviewActual 3-0. Direction hit. Score error 2; total-goals error 1.10. Group impact: review the linked standings path.

Key Takeaway

The final score was 3-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 4-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.10.

Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error1.10
Group impactGroup C

The final score was 3-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 4-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.10.

3-0Final score
Brazil winModel lean · 91%
4-1Predicted score

Post-Match Data Summary

Final score3-0
Pre-match predicted score4-1
Model directionHit
Score error2
Total-goal error1.10
Actual vs expected goals3 / 4.10

Actual Result

Brazil and Haiti completed their Group C match on Jun 19, 2026. The final score was 3-0, producing Brazil win.

Pre-Match Forecast Review

The pre-match probabilities were Brazil win 91%, draw 6%, and Haiti win 2%. The highest-probability lean was Brazil win, and the result call hit.

Expected goals were Brazil 3.60 and Haiti 0.51, which rounded to a 4-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).

Goals Review

The model expected about 4.10 total goals, while the match produced 3. Total-goal error was 1.10.

Model Backtest Learning Notes

Brazil 3-0 Haiti is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Brazil win, the actual result was Brazil, and the projected score was 4-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 3 versus a pre-match expectation of about 4.10, leaving a 1.10 total-goal error.

Pre-match leanBrazil win
Actual resultBrazil
Score error2
Goal error1.10

Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact

Brazil 3-0 Haiti is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 4-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.10; the match played tighter than the model expected. For Group C, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.

Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played tighter than the model expected
GroupGroup C
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation

Group Impact

This match counts toward Group C. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.

Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability

This module uses the official FIFA Group C squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.

BRA · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

Brazil

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersNeymar Da Silva Santos Júnior · FW · Santos FC (BRA) · 128 caps · 79 goals
Marcos Aoas Correa · DF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 107 caps · 7 goals
Carlos Henrique Casimiro · MF · Manchester United FC (ENG) · 88 caps · 9 goals
Lucas Tolentino Coelho De Lima · MF · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 65 caps · 13 goals
Likely XI candidatesÁlisson Ramsés Becker · GK · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 80 caps · 0 goals
Marcos Aoas Correa · DF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 107 caps · 7 goals
Danilo Luiz Da Silva · DF · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 72 caps · 1 goals
Alex Sandro Lobo Silva · DF · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 45 caps · 2 goals
Gabriel Dos Santos Magalhães · DF · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 19 caps · 1 goals
Carlos Henrique Casimiro · MF · Manchester United FC (ENG) · 88 caps · 9 goals
Lucas Tolentino Coelho De Lima · MF · CR Flamengo (BRA) · 65 caps · 13 goals
Bruno Guimarães Rodriguez Moura · MF · Newcastle United FC (ENG) · 45 caps · 3 goals
Neymar Da Silva Santos Júnior · FW · Santos FC (BRA) · 128 caps · 79 goals
Vinicius José Paixão De Oliveira Júnior · FW · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 51 caps · 11 goals
Raphael Dias Belloli · FW · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 41 caps · 11 goals
Bench depthGabriel Teodoro Martinelli Silva · FW · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 24 caps · 4 goals
Matheus Santos Carneiro Da Cunha · FW · Manchester United FC (ENG) · 25 caps · 3 goals
Fabio Henrique Tavares · MF · Al Ittihad (KSA) · 34 caps · 0 goals
Ederson Santana De Moraes · GK · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 32 caps · 0 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 6 / FW: 9
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

HAI · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists

Haiti

26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.

Key players4 Likely XI candidates11/11 Injuries / suspensionssource pending
Key playersDuckens Nazon · FW · Esteghlal Tehran FC (IRN) · 83 caps · 44 goals
Frantzdy Pierrot · FW · Çaykur Rizespor (TUR) · 55 caps · 34 goals
Johny Placide · GK · SC Bastia (FRA) · 85 caps · 0 goals
Derrick Burckley Etienne Jr · FW · Toronto FC (CAN) · 51 caps · 8 goals
Likely XI candidatesJohny Placide · GK · SC Bastia (FRA) · 85 caps · 0 goals
Ricardo Ade · DF · LDU Quito (ECU) · 63 caps · 2 goals
Carlens Jean Fedlaire Ruby Arcus · DF · Angers SCO (FRA) · 58 caps · 1 goals
Markhus Lacroix · DF · Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC (USA) · 16 caps · 3 goals
Martin Yves Roberns Didier Experience · DF · AS Nancy (FRA) · 23 caps · 0 goals
Danley Jean Jacques · MF · Philadelphia Union (USA) · 33 caps · 6 goals
Carl Fred Sainte · MF · El Paso Locomotive FC (USA) · 26 caps · 0 goals
Jean Ricner Bellegarde · MF · Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (ENG) · 12 caps · 0 goals
Duckens Nazon · FW · Esteghlal Tehran FC (IRN) · 83 caps · 44 goals
Frantzdy Pierrot · FW · Çaykur Rizespor (TUR) · 55 caps · 34 goals
Derrick Burckley Etienne Jr · FW · Toronto FC (CAN) · 51 caps · 8 goals
Bench depthDon Deedson Louicius · FW · FC Dallas (USA) · 34 caps · 10 goals
Ruben Fritzner Providence · FW · Almere City FC (NED) · 17 caps · 3 goals
Jean-Kévin Duverne · DF · KAA Gent (BEL) · 18 caps · 1 goals
Alexandre Jr Pierre · GK · FC Sochaux-Montbéliard (FRA) · 17 caps · 0 goals
Position depthGK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 5 / FW: 9
Injuries / suspensionsNo verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source.

Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.

Trust & Transparency

Last updatedJun 20, 2026, 11:12 PM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only

Similar match paths

FAQ

What was the final score for Brazil vs Haiti?3-0

The final score was 3-0, and the result is included in the Group C review.

Did the model hit the result direction?Hit

The pre-match lean was Brazil win, and the result direction hit.

What was the score error?2

The predicted score was 4-1; score error across both teams was 2.

What was the total-goal error?1.10

Actual total goals were 3 versus an expectation of about 4.10, leaving a 1.10 total-goal error.

How does this affect the group?Group C

It affects Group C points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.

Is this review betting advice?No

This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.

Conclusion

The final score was 3-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 4-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.10.

For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.