Completed reviews
Tunisia 1-3 Netherlands Post-Match Analysis
Tunisia vs Netherlands: quick verdict
Model prefers Netherlands at 56%, with a 1-2 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Netherlands leads Tunisia vs Netherlands at 56%; full 90-minute split is Tunisia 19%, Draw 25%, Netherlands 56%; likely score 1-2, total xG 2.44; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Tunisia 19% / Draw 25% / Netherlands 56%
Who is more likely to winNetherlands 56%
Win probability56%
Predicted score1-2Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelMedium upset risk: result path can swing / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionNetherlands 56%, predicted score 1-2.
Post-match reviewActual 1-3. Direction hit. Score error 1; total-goals error 1.56. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.56.
Model hitHit
Score error1
Goal error1.56
Group impactGroup F
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.56.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-3 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-2 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 1.56 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 2.44 |
Actual Result
Tunisia and Netherlands completed their Group F match on Jun 25, 2026. The final score was 1-3, producing Netherlands win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Tunisia win 19%, draw 25%, and Netherlands win 56%. The highest-probability lean was Netherlands win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Tunisia 0.82 and Netherlands 1.62, which rounded to a 1-2 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.44 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 1.56.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Tunisia 1-3 Netherlands is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Netherlands win, the actual result was Netherlands, and the projected score was 1-2. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.44, leaving a 1.56 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanNetherlands win
Actual resultNetherlands
Score error1
Goal error1.56
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Tunisia 1-3 Netherlands is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-2, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.56; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group F, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup F
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group F. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group F squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
TUN · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Tunisia
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Ellyes Joris Skhiri · MF · Eintracht Frankfurt (GER) · 86 caps · 4 goals Montassar Omar Talbi · DF · FC Lorient (FRA) · 67 caps · 4 goals Ali Elabdi · DF · OGC Nice (FRA) · 49 caps · 7 goals Dylan Daniel Mahmoud Bronn · DF · Servette FC (SUI) · 53 caps · 2 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Aymen Dahmen · GK · CS Sfaxien (TUN) · 39 caps · 0 goals Montassar Omar Talbi · DF · FC Lorient (FRA) · 67 caps · 4 goals Ali Elabdi · DF · OGC Nice (FRA) · 49 caps · 7 goals Dylan Daniel Mahmoud Bronn · DF · Servette FC (SUI) · 53 caps · 2 goals Yan Valery · DF · BSC Young Boys (SUI) · 25 caps · 0 goals Ellyes Joris Skhiri · MF · Eintracht Frankfurt (GER) · 86 caps · 4 goals Anis Ben Slimane · MF · Norwich City FC (ENG) · 43 caps · 4 goals Hannibal Mejbri · MF · Burnley FC (ENG) · 48 caps · 1 goals Firas Chaouat · FW · Club Africain (TUN) · 33 caps · 6 goals Mohamed Elyes Achouri · FW · FC København (DEN) · 33 caps · 5 goals Hazem Mastouri · FW · FC Dynamo Makhachkala (RUS) · 20 caps · 5 goals |
| Bench depth | Elias Saad · FW · Hannover 96 (GER) · 17 caps · 3 goals Ismael Seifallah Gharbi · MF · FC Augsburg (GER) · 20 caps · 2 goals Ahmed Mortadha Ben Ouanes · DF · Kasımpaşa SK (TUR) · 19 caps · 0 goals Sebastian Tounekti · MF · Celtic FC (SCO) · 15 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 10 / MF: 8 / FW: 5 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
NED · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Netherlands
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Memphis Depay · FW · SC Corinthians (BRA) · 112 caps · 55 goals Virgil Van Dijk · DF · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 96 caps · 13 goals Cody Mathès Gakpo · FW · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 54 caps · 24 goals Denzel Justus Morris Dumfries · DF · FC Internazionale Milano (ITA) · 76 caps · 11 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Bart Verbruggen · GK · Brighton & Hove Albion FC (ENG) · 33 caps · 0 goals Virgil Van Dijk · DF · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 96 caps · 13 goals Denzel Justus Morris Dumfries · DF · FC Internazionale Milano (ITA) · 76 caps · 11 goals Nathan Benjamin Ake · DF · Manchester City FC (ENG) · 62 caps · 5 goals Micky Van De Ven · DF · Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) · 24 caps · 1 goals Frenkie De Jong · MF · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 70 caps · 2 goals Tijjani Martinus Jan Reijnders · MF · Manchester City FC (ENG) · 35 caps · 7 goals Marten Elco De Roon · MF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 44 caps · 1 goals Memphis Depay · FW · SC Corinthians (BRA) · 112 caps · 55 goals Cody Mathès Gakpo · FW · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 54 caps · 24 goals Wout François Maria Weghorst · FW · AFC Ajax (NED) · 53 caps · 14 goals |
| Bench depth | Donyell Malen · FW · AS Roma (ITA) · 56 caps · 13 goals Teun Koopmeiners · MF · Juventus FC (ITA) · 32 caps · 3 goals Ryan Jiro Gravenberch · MF · Liverpool FC (ENG) · 31 caps · 1 goals Brian Ebenezer Adjei Brobbey · FW · Sunderland AFC (ENG) · 16 caps · 4 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 8 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Tunisia vs Netherlands?1-3
The final score was 1-3, and the result is included in the Group F review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Netherlands win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?1
The predicted score was 1-2; score error across both teams was 1.
What was the total-goal error?1.56
Actual total goals were 4 versus an expectation of about 2.44, leaving a 1.56 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group F
It affects Group F points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 1-3. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.56.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.