Completed reviews
France 3-1 Senegal Post-Match Analysis
France vs Senegal: quick verdict
Model prefers France at 50%, with a 1-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: France leads France vs Senegal at 50%; full 90-minute split is France 50%, Draw 27%, Senegal 23%; likely score 1-1, total xG 2.24; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
France 50% / Draw 27% / Senegal 23%
Who is more likely to winFrance 50%
Win probability50%
Predicted score1-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelMedium upset risk: result path can swing / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionFrance 50%, predicted score 1-1.
Post-match reviewActual 3-1. Direction hit. Score error 2; total-goals error 1.76. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.76.
Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error1.76
Group impactGroup I
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.76.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 3-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 2 |
| Total-goal error | 1.76 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 2.24 |
Actual Result
France and Senegal completed their Group I match on Jun 16, 2026. The final score was 3-1, producing France win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were France win 50%, draw 27%, and Senegal win 23%. The highest-probability lean was France win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were France 1.40 and Senegal 0.85, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.24 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 1.76.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
France 3-1 Senegal is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was France win, the actual result was France, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.24, leaving a 1.76 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanFrance win
Actual resultFrance
Score error2
Goal error1.76
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
France 3-1 Senegal is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.76; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group I, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup I
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group I. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group I squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
FRA · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
France
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Kylian Mbappe Lottin · FW · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 106 caps · 66 goals Masour Ousmane Dembele · FW · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 67 caps · 13 goals Adrien Thibault Marie Rabiot · MF · AC Milan (ITA) · 66 caps · 7 goals N'golo Kante · MF · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 69 caps · 2 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Mike Peterson Maignan · GK · AC Milan (ITA) · 48 caps · 0 goals Lucas Digne · DF · Aston Villa FC (ENG) · 64 caps · 0 goals Jules Olivier Kounde · DF · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 56 caps · 0 goals Théo Bernard François Hernandez · DF · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 49 caps · 2 goals Dayotchanculle Oswald Upamecano · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 46 caps · 2 goals Adrien Thibault Marie Rabiot · MF · AC Milan (ITA) · 66 caps · 7 goals N'golo Kante · MF · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 69 caps · 2 goals Aurélien Djani Tchouameni · MF · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 50 caps · 3 goals Kylian Mbappe Lottin · FW · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 106 caps · 66 goals Masour Ousmane Dembele · FW · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 67 caps · 13 goals Michael Akpovie Olise · FW · FC Bayern München (GER) · 25 caps · 7 goals |
| Bench depth | Bradley Jean-Manuel Essolisa A Barcola · FW · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 28 caps · 6 goals Marcus Lilian Thuram-ulien · FW · FC Internazionale Milano (ITA) · 35 caps · 3 goals Lucas Francois Bernard Hernandez · DF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 42 caps · 0 goals William Alain André Gabriel Saliba · DF · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 38 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 7 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
SEN · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Senegal
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Sadio Mane · FW · Al Nassr FC (KSA) · 134 caps · 54 goals Idrissa Gana Gueye · MF · Everton FC (ENG) · 140 caps · 7 goals Ismaila Sarr · FW · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 88 caps · 23 goals Kalidou Koulibaly · DF · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 106 caps · 2 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Edouard Osoque Mendy · GK · Al Ahli FC (KSA) · 60 caps · 0 goals Kalidou Koulibaly · DF · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 106 caps · 2 goals Krepin Diatta · DF · AS Monaco (FRA) · 66 caps · 2 goals Abdoulaye Seck · DF · Maccabi Haifa FC (ISR) · 24 caps · 4 goals Moussa Niakhate · DF · Olympique Lyonnais (FRA) · 36 caps · 0 goals Idrissa Gana Gueye · MF · Everton FC (ENG) · 140 caps · 7 goals Lamine Camara · MF · AS Monaco (FRA) · 49 caps · 7 goals Pape Alassane Gueye · MF · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 46 caps · 8 goals Sadio Mane · FW · Al Nassr FC (KSA) · 134 caps · 54 goals Ismaila Sarr · FW · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 88 caps · 23 goals Nicolas Jackson · FW · FC Bayern München (GER) · 38 caps · 8 goals |
| Bench depth | Iliman Cheikh Baroy Ndiaye · FW · Everton FC (ENG) · 44 caps · 5 goals Pape Matar Sarr · MF · Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) · 43 caps · 4 goals Mouhamadou Habib Mbacke Diarra · MF · Sunderland AFC (ENG) · 24 caps · 6 goals Ismaila Pathe Ciss · MF · Rayo Vallecano (ESP) · 35 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 7 / FW: 8 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for France vs Senegal?3-1
The final score was 3-1, and the result is included in the Group I review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was France win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?2
The predicted score was 1-1; score error across both teams was 2.
What was the total-goal error?1.76
Actual total goals were 4 versus an expectation of about 2.24, leaving a 1.76 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group I
It affects Group I points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.76.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.