Completed reviews
France 3-1 Senegal Post-Match Analysis
Key Takeaway
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.76.
Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error1.76
Group impactGroup I
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.76.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 3-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 2 |
| Total-goal error | 1.76 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 2.24 |
Actual Result
France and Senegal completed their Group I match on Jun 16, 2026. The final score was 3-1, producing France win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were France win 50%, draw 27%, and Senegal win 23%. The highest-probability lean was France win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were France 1.40 and Senegal 0.85, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.24 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 1.76.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
France 3-1 Senegal is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was France win, the actual result was France, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.24, leaving a 1.76 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanFrance win
Actual resultFrance
Score error2
Goal error1.76
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group I. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 18, 2026, 12:27 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Conclusion
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 1.76.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.