Completed reviews
Iraq 1-4 Norway Post-Match Analysis
Iraq vs Norway: quick verdict
Model prefers Norway at 57%, with a 1-2 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Norway leads Iraq vs Norway at 57%; full 90-minute split is Iraq 19%, Draw 25%, Norway 57%; likely score 1-2, total xG 2.46; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Iraq 19% / Draw 25% / Norway 57%
Who is more likely to winNorway 57%
Win probability57%
Predicted score1-2Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelMedium upset risk: result path can swing / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionNorway 57%, predicted score 1-2.
Post-match reviewActual 1-4. Direction hit. Score error 2; total-goals error 2.54. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 1-4. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.54.
Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error2.54
Group impactGroup I
The final score was 1-4. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.54.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 1-4 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-2 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 2 |
| Total-goal error | 2.54 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 5 / 2.46 |
Actual Result
Iraq and Norway completed their Group I match on Jun 16, 2026. The final score was 1-4, producing Norway win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Iraq win 19%, draw 25%, and Norway win 57%. The highest-probability lean was Norway win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Iraq 0.82 and Norway 1.64, which rounded to a 1-2 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.46 total goals, while the match produced 5. Total-goal error was 2.54.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Iraq 1-4 Norway is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Norway win, the actual result was Norway, and the projected score was 1-2. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 5 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.46, leaving a 2.54 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanNorway win
Actual resultNorway
Score error2
Goal error2.54
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Iraq 1-4 Norway is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.54; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group I, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup I
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group I. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group I squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
IRQ · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Iraq
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Aymen Hussein Ghadhban Ghadhban · FW · Al Karma SC (IRQ) · 97 caps · 34 goals Mohanad Ali Kadhim Al-shammari · FW · Dibba FC (UAE) · 73 caps · 26 goals Jalal Hasan Hachim Hachim · GK · Al Zawra'a SC (IRQ) · 106 caps · 0 goals Ibrahim Bayesh Kamil Al-kaabawi · MF · Al Dhafra SCC (UAE) · 79 caps · 8 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Jalal Hasan Hachim Hachim · GK · Al Zawra'a SC (IRQ) · 106 caps · 0 goals Rebin Ghareeb Solaka Adhamat · DF · Port FC (THA) · 58 caps · 1 goals Munaf Younus Hashim Al-tekreeti · DF · Al Shorta SC (IRQ) · 35 caps · 1 goals Merchas Ghazi Salih Salih · DF · FC Viktoria Plzeň (CZE) · 34 caps · 1 goals Zaid Tahseen Abd Zaid Hantoosh · DF · Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (UZB) · 30 caps · 1 goals Ibrahim Bayesh Kamil Al-kaabawi · MF · Al Dhafra SCC (UAE) · 79 caps · 8 goals Amir Fouad Aboud Al-ammari · MF · KS Cracovia (POL) · 54 caps · 3 goals Youssef Wali Faeq Amyn · MF · AEK Larnaca FC (CYP) · 28 caps · 2 goals Aymen Hussein Ghadhban Ghadhban · FW · Al Karma SC (IRQ) · 97 caps · 34 goals Mohanad Ali Kadhim Al-shammari · FW · Dibba FC (UAE) · 73 caps · 26 goals Ali Jasim Elaibi Al-tameemi · FW · Al Najmah SC (KSA) · 38 caps · 2 goals |
| Bench depth | Ali Ibrahim Karim Alzubaidi · FW · Luton Town FC (ENG) · 23 caps · 5 goals Zidane Aamar Iqbal Iqbal · MF · FC Utrecht (NED) · 28 caps · 2 goals Hussein Haydar Hussein Ali · DF · Pogoń Szczecin (POL) · 29 caps · 1 goals Frans Dhia Jirjis Haddad · DF · Persib Bandung (IDN) · 29 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 7 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
NOR · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Norway
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Erling Braut Haaland · FW · Manchester City FC (ENG) · 55 caps · 62 goals Alexander Sørloth · FW · Atlético De Madrid (ESP) · 77 caps · 26 goals Martín Ødegaard · MF · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 73 caps · 5 goals Ørjan Haskjold Nyland · GK · Sevilla FC (ESP) · 76 caps · 0 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Ørjan Haskjold Nyland · GK · Sevilla FC (ESP) · 76 caps · 0 goals Kristoffer Vassbakk Köpp Ajer · DF · Brentford FC (ENG) · 57 caps · 2 goals Leo Skiri Østigård · DF · Genoa CFC (ITA) · 43 caps · 2 goals Marcus Holmgren Pedersen · DF · Torino FC (ITA) · 36 caps · 1 goals David Møller Wolfe · DF · Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (ENG) · 27 caps · 1 goals Martín Ødegaard · MF · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 73 caps · 5 goals Sander Gard Bolin Berge · MF · Fulham FC (ENG) · 71 caps · 1 goals Kristian Thorstvedt · MF · US Sassuolo (ITA) · 39 caps · 4 goals Erling Braut Haaland · FW · Manchester City FC (ENG) · 55 caps · 62 goals Alexander Sørloth · FW · Atlético De Madrid (ESP) · 77 caps · 26 goals Antonio Eromonsele Nordby Nusa · FW · RB Leipzig (GER) · 30 caps · 9 goals |
| Bench depth | Julian Ryerson · FW · Borussia Dortmund (GER) · 47 caps · 1 goals Patrick Berg · MF · FK Bodø/Glimt (NOR) · 49 caps · 0 goals Jørgen Strand Larsen · FW · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 30 caps · 6 goals Morten Thorsby · MF · US Cremonese (ITA) · 32 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 10 / FW: 5 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Iraq vs Norway?1-4
The final score was 1-4, and the result is included in the Group I review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Norway win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?2
The predicted score was 1-2; score error across both teams was 2.
What was the total-goal error?2.54
Actual total goals were 5 versus an expectation of about 2.46, leaving a 2.54 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group I
It affects Group I points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 1-4. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-2, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 2.54.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.