Completed reviews
France 3-0 Iraq Post-Match Analysis
France vs Iraq: quick verdict
Model prefers France at 72%, with a 2-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: France leads France vs Iraq at 72%; full 90-minute split is France 72%, Draw 19%, Iraq 9%; likely score 2-1, total xG 2.59; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
France 72% / Draw 19% / Iraq 9%
Who is more likely to winFrance 72%
Win probability72%
Predicted score2-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelLow upset risk: model lean is clear / Medium goal risk: leans 2-3 goals / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionFrance 72%, predicted score 2-1.
Post-match reviewActual 3-0. Direction hit. Score error 2; total-goals error 0.41. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 3-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 0.41.
Model hitHit
Score error2
Goal error0.41
Group impactGroup I
The final score was 3-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 0.41.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 3-0 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 2-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 2 |
| Total-goal error | 0.41 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 3 / 2.59 |
Actual Result
France and Iraq completed their Group I match on Jun 22, 2026. The final score was 3-0, producing France win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were France win 72%, draw 19%, and Iraq win 9%. The highest-probability lean was France win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were France 2.03 and Iraq 0.55, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 2 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.59 total goals, while the match produced 3. Total-goal error was 0.41.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
France 3-0 Iraq is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was France win, the actual result was France, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 3 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.59, leaving a 0.41 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanFrance win
Actual resultFrance
Score error2
Goal error0.41
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
France 3-0 Iraq is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 2-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 0.41; the goal tempo stayed close to the model expectation. For Group I, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe goal tempo stayed close to the model expectation
StageGroup I
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group I. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group I squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
FRA · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
France
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Kylian Mbappe Lottin · FW · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 106 caps · 66 goals Masour Ousmane Dembele · FW · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 67 caps · 13 goals Adrien Thibault Marie Rabiot · MF · AC Milan (ITA) · 66 caps · 7 goals N'golo Kante · MF · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 69 caps · 2 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Mike Peterson Maignan · GK · AC Milan (ITA) · 48 caps · 0 goals Lucas Digne · DF · Aston Villa FC (ENG) · 64 caps · 0 goals Jules Olivier Kounde · DF · FC Barcelona (ESP) · 56 caps · 0 goals Théo Bernard François Hernandez · DF · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 49 caps · 2 goals Dayotchanculle Oswald Upamecano · DF · FC Bayern München (GER) · 46 caps · 2 goals Adrien Thibault Marie Rabiot · MF · AC Milan (ITA) · 66 caps · 7 goals N'golo Kante · MF · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 69 caps · 2 goals Aurélien Djani Tchouameni · MF · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 50 caps · 3 goals Kylian Mbappe Lottin · FW · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 106 caps · 66 goals Masour Ousmane Dembele · FW · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 67 caps · 13 goals Michael Akpovie Olise · FW · FC Bayern München (GER) · 25 caps · 7 goals |
| Bench depth | Bradley Jean-Manuel Essolisa A Barcola · FW · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 28 caps · 6 goals Marcus Lilian Thuram-ulien · FW · FC Internazionale Milano (ITA) · 35 caps · 3 goals Lucas Francois Bernard Hernandez · DF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 42 caps · 0 goals William Alain André Gabriel Saliba · DF · Arsenal FC (ENG) · 38 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 7 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
IRQ · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Iraq
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Aymen Hussein Ghadhban Ghadhban · FW · Al Karma SC (IRQ) · 97 caps · 34 goals Mohanad Ali Kadhim Al-shammari · FW · Dibba FC (UAE) · 73 caps · 26 goals Jalal Hasan Hachim Hachim · GK · Al Zawra'a SC (IRQ) · 106 caps · 0 goals Ibrahim Bayesh Kamil Al-kaabawi · MF · Al Dhafra SCC (UAE) · 79 caps · 8 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Jalal Hasan Hachim Hachim · GK · Al Zawra'a SC (IRQ) · 106 caps · 0 goals Rebin Ghareeb Solaka Adhamat · DF · Port FC (THA) · 58 caps · 1 goals Munaf Younus Hashim Al-tekreeti · DF · Al Shorta SC (IRQ) · 35 caps · 1 goals Merchas Ghazi Salih Salih · DF · FC Viktoria Plzeň (CZE) · 34 caps · 1 goals Zaid Tahseen Abd Zaid Hantoosh · DF · Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (UZB) · 30 caps · 1 goals Ibrahim Bayesh Kamil Al-kaabawi · MF · Al Dhafra SCC (UAE) · 79 caps · 8 goals Amir Fouad Aboud Al-ammari · MF · KS Cracovia (POL) · 54 caps · 3 goals Youssef Wali Faeq Amyn · MF · AEK Larnaca FC (CYP) · 28 caps · 2 goals Aymen Hussein Ghadhban Ghadhban · FW · Al Karma SC (IRQ) · 97 caps · 34 goals Mohanad Ali Kadhim Al-shammari · FW · Dibba FC (UAE) · 73 caps · 26 goals Ali Jasim Elaibi Al-tameemi · FW · Al Najmah SC (KSA) · 38 caps · 2 goals |
| Bench depth | Ali Ibrahim Karim Alzubaidi · FW · Luton Town FC (ENG) · 23 caps · 5 goals Zidane Aamar Iqbal Iqbal · MF · FC Utrecht (NED) · 28 caps · 2 goals Hussein Haydar Hussein Ali · DF · Pogoń Szczecin (POL) · 29 caps · 1 goals Frans Dhia Jirjis Haddad · DF · Persib Bandung (IDN) · 29 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 7 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for France vs Iraq?3-0
The final score was 3-0, and the result is included in the Group I review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was France win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?2
The predicted score was 2-1; score error across both teams was 2.
What was the total-goal error?0.41
Actual total goals were 3 versus an expectation of about 2.59, leaving a 0.41 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group I
It affects Group I points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 3-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 2, and total-goal error was 0.41.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.