Completed reviews
Turkiye 0-1 Paraguay Post-Match Analysis
Turkiye vs Paraguay: quick verdict
Model prefers Turkiye at 36%, with a 1-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Turkiye is the model lean at 36%; likely score path 1-1.
Turkiye 36% / Draw 27% / Paraguay 36%
Who is more likely to winTurkiye 36%
Win probability36%
Predicted score1-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelHigh upset risk: no clean model edge / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJun 20, 2026, 11:13 PM
Pre-match predictionTurkiye 36%, predicted score 1-1.
Post-match reviewActual 0-1. Direction missed. Score error 1; total-goals error 1.46. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 0-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.46.
Model hitMiss
Score error1
Goal error1.46
Group impactGroup D
The final score was 0-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.46.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 0-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Miss |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 1.46 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 1 / 2.46 |
Actual Result
Turkiye and Paraguay completed their Group D match on Jun 19, 2026. The final score was 0-1, producing Paraguay win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Turkiye win 36%, draw 27%, and Paraguay win 36%. The highest-probability lean was Turkiye win, and the result call missed.
Expected goals were Turkiye 1.23 and Paraguay 1.23, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.46 total goals, while the match produced 1. Total-goal error was 1.46.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Turkiye 0-1 Paraguay is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Turkiye win, the actual result was Paraguay, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction missed, so the review focuses on what the pre-match probabilities failed to capture. Actual total goals were 1 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.46, leaving a 1.46 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanTurkiye win
Actual resultParaguay
Score error1
Goal error1.46
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Turkiye 0-1 Paraguay is mainly a result direction missed review. The projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.46; the match played tighter than the model expected. For Group D, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction missed
Goal tempothe match played tighter than the model expected
GroupGroup D
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group D. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group D squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
TUR · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Turkiye
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Hakan Çalhanoğlu · MF · FC Internazionale Milano (ITA) · 108 caps · 22 goals Muhammed Kerem Aktürkoğlu · FW · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 54 caps · 15 goals Kaan Ayhan · MF · Galatasaray SK (TUR) · 73 caps · 5 goals Merih Demi̇ral · DF · Al Ahli FC (KSA) · 65 caps · 6 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Uğurcan Çakir · GK · Galatasaray SK (TUR) · 41 caps · 0 goals Merih Demi̇ral · DF · Al Ahli FC (KSA) · 65 caps · 6 goals Mehmet Zeki Çelik · DF · AS Roma (ITA) · 62 caps · 3 goals Çağlar Söyüncü · DF · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 60 caps · 2 goals Mert Müldür · DF · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 47 caps · 3 goals Hakan Çalhanoğlu · MF · FC Internazionale Milano (ITA) · 108 caps · 22 goals Kaan Ayhan · MF · Galatasaray SK (TUR) · 73 caps · 5 goals Orkun Kökçü · MF · Beşiktaş JK (TUR) · 52 caps · 4 goals Muhammed Kerem Aktürkoğlu · FW · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 54 caps · 15 goals İrfan Kahveci̇ · FW · Kasımpaşa SK (TUR) · 47 caps · 6 goals Arda Güler · FW · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 32 caps · 6 goals |
| Bench depth | Barış Alper Yilmaz · FW · Galatasaray SK (TUR) · 37 caps · 4 goals Kenan Yildiz · FW · Juventus FC (ITA) · 30 caps · 5 goals Fehmi Mert Günok · GK · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 37 caps · 0 goals İsmaİl Yüksek · MF · Fenerbahçe SK (TUR) · 34 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 5 / FW: 9 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
PAR · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Paraguay
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Miguel Angel Almiron Rejala · MF · Atlanta United FC (USA) · 78 caps · 10 goals Gustavo Raul Gómez Portillo · DF · SE Palmeiras (BRA) · 91 caps · 4 goals Júnior Osmar Ignacio Alonso Mujica · DF · Atlético Mineiro (BRA) · 73 caps · 3 goals Arnaldo Antonio Sanabria Ayala · FW · US Cremonese (ITA) · 49 caps · 7 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Roberto Junior Fernandez Torres · GK · Cerro Porteño (PAR) · 30 caps · 0 goals Gustavo Raul Gómez Portillo · DF · SE Palmeiras (BRA) · 91 caps · 4 goals Júnior Osmar Ignacio Alonso Mujica · DF · Atlético Mineiro (BRA) · 73 caps · 3 goals Fabián Cornelio Balbuena González · DF · Grêmio FBPA (BRA) · 47 caps · 2 goals Omar Federico Alderete Fernandez · DF · Sunderland AFC (ENG) · 38 caps · 3 goals Miguel Angel Almiron Rejala · MF · Atlanta United FC (USA) · 78 caps · 10 goals Diego Alexander Gomez Amarilla · MF · Brighton & Hove Albion FC (ENG) · 26 caps · 3 goals Adrián Andrés Cubas · MF · Vancouver Whitecaps FC (CAN) · 35 caps · 0 goals Arnaldo Antonio Sanabria Ayala · FW · US Cremonese (ITA) · 49 caps · 7 goals Alejandro Sebastian Romero Gamarra · FW · Al Ain FC (UAE) · 35 caps · 6 goals Julio Cesar Enciso Espinola · FW · RC Strasbourg (FRA) · 34 caps · 4 goals |
| Bench depth | Ramón Sosa Acosta · MF · SE Palmeiras (BRA) · 30 caps · 1 goals Gabriel Avalos Stumpfs · FW · CA Independiente (ARG) · 24 caps · 2 goals Matias Galarza Fonda · MF · Atlanta United FC (USA) · 16 caps · 4 goals Damián Josue Bobadilla Benitez · MF · São Paulo FC (BRA) · 21 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 9 / FW: 6 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJun 20, 2026, 11:12 PM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Turkiye vs Paraguay?0-1
The final score was 0-1, and the result is included in the Group D review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Miss
The pre-match lean was Turkiye win, and the result direction missed.
What was the score error?1
The predicted score was 1-1; score error across both teams was 1.
What was the total-goal error?1.46
Actual total goals were 1 versus an expectation of about 2.46, leaving a 1.46 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group D
It affects Group D points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 0-1. The model lean missed, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.46.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.