Completed reviews
Bosnia and Herzegovina 3-1 Qatar Post-Match Analysis
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar: quick verdict
Model prefers Bosnia and Herzegovina at 44%, with a 2-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Bosnia and Herzegovina leads Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar at 44%; full 90-minute split is Bosnia and Herzegovina 44%, Draw 25%, Qatar 31%; likely score 2-1, total xG 2.84; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Bosnia and Herzegovina 44% / Draw 25% / Qatar 31%
Who is more likely to winBosnia and Herzegovina 44%
Win probability44%
Predicted score2-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelHigh upset risk: no clean model edge / Medium goal risk: leans 2-3 goals / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionBosnia and Herzegovina 44%, predicted score 2-1.
Post-match reviewActual 3-1. Direction hit. Score error 1; total-goals error 1.16. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.16.
Model hitHit
Score error1
Goal error1.16
Group impactGroup B
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.16.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 3-1 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 2-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 1 |
| Total-goal error | 1.16 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 4 / 2.84 |
Actual Result
Bosnia and Herzegovina and Qatar completed their Group B match on Jun 24, 2026. The final score was 3-1, producing Bosnia and Herzegovina win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Bosnia and Herzegovina win 44%, draw 25%, and Qatar win 31%. The highest-probability lean was Bosnia and Herzegovina win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Bosnia and Herzegovina 1.56 and Qatar 1.28, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 1 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.84 total goals, while the match produced 4. Total-goal error was 1.16.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Bosnia and Herzegovina 3-1 Qatar is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Bosnia and Herzegovina win, the actual result was Bosnia and Herzegovina, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 4 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.84, leaving a 1.16 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanBosnia and Herzegovina win
Actual resultBosnia and Herzegovina
Score error1
Goal error1.16
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Bosnia and Herzegovina 3-1 Qatar is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.16; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group B, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup B
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group B. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group B squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
BIH · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Bosnia and Herzegovina
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Edin Džeko · FW · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 151 caps · 73 goals Sead Kolašinac · DF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 69 caps · 0 goals Ermedin Demirović · FW · VfB Stuttgart (GER) · 44 caps · 4 goals Benjamin Tahirovic · MF · Brøndby IF (DEN) · 32 caps · 2 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Nikola Vasilj · GK · FC St. Pauli (GER) · 30 caps · 0 goals Sead Kolašinac · DF · Atalanta Bergamo (ITA) · 69 caps · 0 goals Amar Dedić · DF · SL Benca (POR) · 31 caps · 1 goals Dennis Hadžikadunić · DF · UC Sampdoria (ITA) · 33 caps · 0 goals Nikola Katić · DF · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 21 caps · 2 goals Benjamin Tahirovic · MF · Brøndby IF (DEN) · 32 caps · 2 goals Amir Hadžiahmetović · MF · Hull City FC (ENG) · 37 caps · 0 goals Armin Gigović · MF · BSC Young Boys (SUI) · 22 caps · 1 goals Edin Džeko · FW · FC Schalke 04 (GER) · 151 caps · 73 goals Ermedin Demirović · FW · VfB Stuttgart (GER) · 44 caps · 4 goals Esmir Bajraktarević · FW · PSV Eindhoven (NED) · 20 caps · 1 goals |
| Bench depth | Haris Tabaković · FW · Borussia Mönchengladbach (GER) · 11 caps · 4 goals Dženis Burnić · MF · Karlsruher SC (GER) · 22 caps · 0 goals Kerim Alajbegović · FW · FC Red Bull Salzburg (AUT) · 14 caps · 2 goals Ivan Bašić · MF · FC Astana (KAZ) · 20 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 8 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
QAT · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Qatar
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Hasan Khalid H Alhaydos · FW · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 191 caps · 40 goals Almoez Ali Zainelabdeen M Abdulla · FW · Al Duhail SC (QAT) · 129 caps · 58 goals Akram Hassan A Y Afif · FW · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 139 caps · 40 goals Boualem Khoukhi · DF · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 131 caps · 21 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Meshaal Aissa M Barsham · GK · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 60 caps · 0 goals Boualem Khoukhi · DF · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 131 caps · 21 goals Pedro Miguel D D Correia · DF · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 114 caps · 4 goals Homam Elamin M Ahmed · DF · Cultural Leonesa (ESP) · 78 caps · 3 goals Jassem Gaber E Abdulsallam · DF · Al Rayyan SC (QAT) · 40 caps · 1 goals Abdelaziz Hatim A Mohamed · MF · Al Rayyan SC (QAT) · 133 caps · 11 goals Karim Boudiaf · MF · Al Duhail SC (QAT) · 130 caps · 6 goals Assim Omer A Madibo · MF · Al Wakrah SC (QAT) · 66 caps · 0 goals Hasan Khalid H Alhaydos · FW · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 191 caps · 40 goals Almoez Ali Zainelabdeen M Abdulla · FW · Al Duhail SC (QAT) · 129 caps · 58 goals Akram Hassan A Y Afif · FW · Al Sadd SC (QAT) · 139 caps · 40 goals |
| Bench depth | Mohammed Muntari · FW · Al Gharafa SC (QAT) · 74 caps · 17 goals Ahmed Alaaeldin B M Abdelmotaal · FW · Al Rayyan SC (QAT) · 79 caps · 10 goals Ahmed Fathy M Abdoulla · MF · Al Arabi SC (QAT) · 57 caps · 0 goals Yusuf Abdurisag Yusuf · FW · Al Wakrah SC (QAT) · 46 caps · 3 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 5 / FW: 9 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar?3-1
The final score was 3-1, and the result is included in the Group B review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Bosnia and Herzegovina win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?1
The predicted score was 2-1; score error across both teams was 1.
What was the total-goal error?1.16
Actual total goals were 4 versus an expectation of about 2.84, leaving a 1.16 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group B
It affects Group B points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 3-1. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 1, and total-goal error was 1.16.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.