Completed reviews
Morocco 4-2 Haiti Post-Match Analysis
Morocco vs Haiti: quick verdict
Model prefers Morocco at 75%, with a 2-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Morocco leads Morocco vs Haiti at 75%; full 90-minute split is Morocco 75%, Draw 17%, Haiti 8%; likely score 2-1, total xG 2.72; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Morocco 75% / Draw 17% / Haiti 8%
Who is more likely to winMorocco 75%
Win probability75%
Predicted score2-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelLow upset risk: model lean is clear / Medium goal risk: leans 2-3 goals / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionMorocco 75%, predicted score 2-1.
Post-match reviewActual 4-2. Direction hit. Score error 3; total-goals error 3.28. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 4-2. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 3, and total-goal error was 3.28.
Model hitHit
Score error3
Goal error3.28
Group impactGroup C
The final score was 4-2. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 3, and total-goal error was 3.28.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 4-2 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 2-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 3 |
| Total-goal error | 3.28 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 6 / 2.72 |
Actual Result
Morocco and Haiti completed their Group C match on Jun 24, 2026. The final score was 4-2, producing Morocco win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Morocco win 75%, draw 17%, and Haiti win 8%. The highest-probability lean was Morocco win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Morocco 2.17 and Haiti 0.54, which rounded to a 2-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 3 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 2.72 total goals, while the match produced 6. Total-goal error was 3.28.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Morocco 4-2 Haiti is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Morocco win, the actual result was Morocco, and the projected score was 2-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 6 versus a pre-match expectation of about 2.72, leaving a 3.28 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanMorocco win
Actual resultMorocco
Score error3
Goal error3.28
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Morocco 4-2 Haiti is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 2-1, score error was 3, and total-goal error was 3.28; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group C, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup C
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group C. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group C squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
MAR · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Morocco
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Ayoub El Kaabi · FW · Olympiacos FC (GRE) · 72 caps · 35 goals Achraf Hakimi · DF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 102 caps · 12 goals Yassine Bounou · GK · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 96 caps · 0 goals Azz-Eddine Ounahi · MF · Girona FC (ESP) · 55 caps · 11 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Yassine Bounou · GK · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 96 caps · 0 goals Achraf Hakimi · DF · Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) · 102 caps · 12 goals Noussair Mazraoui · DF · Manchester United FC (ENG) · 51 caps · 2 goals Marwane Saadane · DF · Al Fateh SC (KSA) · 18 caps · 1 goals Youssef Belammari · DF · Al Ahly FC (EGY) · 18 caps · 0 goals Azz-Eddine Ounahi · MF · Girona FC (ESP) · 55 caps · 11 goals Sofyan Amrabat · MF · Real Betis (ESP) · 78 caps · 0 goals Ismael Saibari · MF · PSV Eindhoven (NED) · 35 caps · 12 goals Ayoub El Kaabi · FW · Olympiacos FC (GRE) · 72 caps · 35 goals Souane Rahimi · FW · Al Ain FC (UAE) · 43 caps · 14 goals Brahim Abdelkader Diaz · FW · Real Madrid C. F. (ESP) · 32 caps · 14 goals |
| Bench depth | Monir El Kajoui · GK · RS Berkane (MAR) · 52 caps · 0 goals Bilal El Khannouss · MF · VfB Stuttgart (GER) · 43 caps · 3 goals Neil Yoni El Aynaoui · MF · AS Roma (ITA) · 22 caps · 2 goals Chadi Riad · DF · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 10 caps · 1 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 9 / FW: 5 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
HAI · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Haiti
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Duckens Nazon · FW · Esteghlal Tehran FC (IRN) · 84 caps · 44 goals Frantzdy Pierrot · FW · Çaykur Rizespor (TUR) · 56 caps · 34 goals Johny Placide · GK · SC Bastia (FRA) · 86 caps · 0 goals Derrick Burckley Etienne Jr · FW · Toronto FC (CAN) · 51 caps · 8 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Johny Placide · GK · SC Bastia (FRA) · 86 caps · 0 goals Ricardo Ade · DF · LDU Quito (ECU) · 64 caps · 2 goals Carlens Jean Fedlaire Ruby Arcus · DF · Angers SCO (FRA) · 59 caps · 1 goals Markhus Lacroix · DF · Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC (USA) · 16 caps · 3 goals Martin Yves Roberns Didier Experience · DF · AS Nancy (FRA) · 24 caps · 0 goals Danley Jean Jacques · MF · Philadelphia Union (USA) · 34 caps · 6 goals Carl Fred Sainte · MF · El Paso Locomotive FC (USA) · 26 caps · 0 goals Jean Ricner Bellegarde · MF · Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (ENG) · 13 caps · 0 goals Duckens Nazon · FW · Esteghlal Tehran FC (IRN) · 84 caps · 44 goals Frantzdy Pierrot · FW · Çaykur Rizespor (TUR) · 56 caps · 34 goals Derrick Burckley Etienne Jr · FW · Toronto FC (CAN) · 51 caps · 8 goals |
| Bench depth | Don Deedson Louicius · FW · FC Dallas (USA) · 35 caps · 10 goals Ruben Fritzner Providence · FW · Almere City FC (NED) · 18 caps · 3 goals Jean-Kévin Duverne · DF · KAA Gent (BEL) · 19 caps · 1 goals Alexandre Jr Pierre · GK · FC Sochaux-Montbéliard (FRA) · 17 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 5 / FW: 9 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Morocco vs Haiti?4-2
The final score was 4-2, and the result is included in the Group C review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Morocco win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?3
The predicted score was 2-1; score error across both teams was 3.
What was the total-goal error?3.28
Actual total goals were 6 versus an expectation of about 2.72, leaving a 3.28 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group C
It affects Group C points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 4-2. The model lean hit, the projected score was 2-1, score error was 3, and total-goal error was 3.28.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.