Completed reviews
Senegal 5-0 Iraq Post-Match Analysis
Senegal vs Iraq: quick verdict
Model prefers Senegal at 54%, with a 1-1 score lean. This is a viewing reference, not betting advice.
AI citation: Senegal leads Senegal vs Iraq at 54%; full 90-minute split is Senegal 54%, Draw 29%, Iraq 17%; likely score 1-1, total xG 1.92; market odds coverage 100%, official odds pending.
Senegal 54% / Draw 29% / Iraq 17%
Who is more likely to winSenegal 54%
Win probability54%
Predicted score1-1Most likely score, not a guaranteed result
Risk levelMedium upset risk: result path can swing / Low goal risk: lower-scoring profile / Lineup risk pending: starters can move the forecast
Data updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:04 AM
Pre-match predictionSenegal 54%, predicted score 1-1.
Post-match reviewActual 5-0. Direction hit. Score error 5; total-goals error 3.08. Group impact: review the linked standings path.
Key Takeaway
The final score was 5-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 5, and total-goal error was 3.08.
Model hitHit
Score error5
Goal error3.08
Group impactGroup I
The final score was 5-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 5, and total-goal error was 3.08.
Post-Match Data Summary
| Final score | 5-0 |
|---|---|
| Pre-match predicted score | 1-1 |
| Model direction | Hit |
| Score error | 5 |
| Total-goal error | 3.08 |
| Actual vs expected goals | 5 / 1.92 |
Actual Result
Senegal and Iraq completed their Group I match on Jun 26, 2026. The final score was 5-0, producing Senegal win.
Pre-Match Forecast Review
The pre-match probabilities were Senegal win 54%, draw 29%, and Iraq win 17%. The highest-probability lean was Senegal win, and the result call hit.
Expected goals were Senegal 1.32 and Iraq 0.60, which rounded to a 1-1 scoreline. The rounded score error was 5 goal(s).
Goals Review
The model expected about 1.92 total goals, while the match produced 5. Total-goal error was 3.08.
Model Backtest Learning Notes
Senegal 5-0 Iraq is reviewed from final score, pre-match xG, and model lean. The pre-match lean was Senegal win, the actual result was Senegal, and the projected score was 1-1. The result direction was useful, but score error still shows whether goals were over- or under-estimated. Actual total goals were 5 versus a pre-match expectation of about 1.92, leaving a 3.08 total-goal error.
Pre-match leanSenegal win
Actual resultSenegal
Score error5
Goal error3.08
Post-Match Scenario, Error and Group Impact
Senegal 5-0 Iraq is mainly a result direction hit review. The projected score was 1-1, score error was 5, and total-goal error was 3.08; the match played more open than the model expected. For Group I, the result changes points, goal difference and rotation pressure for the next fixtures.
Result directionresult direction hit
Goal tempothe match played more open than the model expected
StageGroup I
Next watchpoints / goal difference / rotation
Group Impact
This match counts toward Group I. Read it alongside points, goal difference, remaining fixtures, and lineup availability.
Players, Likely XI Candidates and Availability
This module uses the official FIFA Group I squad list: positions, clubs, international caps and goals.
SEN · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Senegal
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Sadio Mane · FW · Al Nassr FC (KSA) · 134 caps · 54 goals Idrissa Gana Gueye · MF · Everton FC (ENG) · 140 caps · 7 goals Ismaila Sarr · FW · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 88 caps · 23 goals Kalidou Koulibaly · DF · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 106 caps · 2 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Edouard Osoque Mendy · GK · Al Ahli FC (KSA) · 60 caps · 0 goals Kalidou Koulibaly · DF · Al Hilal SC (KSA) · 106 caps · 2 goals Krepin Diatta · DF · AS Monaco (FRA) · 66 caps · 2 goals Abdoulaye Seck · DF · Maccabi Haifa FC (ISR) · 24 caps · 4 goals Moussa Niakhate · DF · Olympique Lyonnais (FRA) · 36 caps · 0 goals Idrissa Gana Gueye · MF · Everton FC (ENG) · 140 caps · 7 goals Lamine Camara · MF · AS Monaco (FRA) · 49 caps · 7 goals Pape Alassane Gueye · MF · Villarreal CF (ESP) · 46 caps · 8 goals Sadio Mane · FW · Al Nassr FC (KSA) · 134 caps · 54 goals Ismaila Sarr · FW · Crystal Palace FC (ENG) · 88 caps · 23 goals Nicolas Jackson · FW · FC Bayern München (GER) · 38 caps · 8 goals |
| Bench depth | Iliman Cheikh Baroy Ndiaye · FW · Everton FC (ENG) · 44 caps · 5 goals Pape Matar Sarr · MF · Tottenham Hotspur FC (ENG) · 43 caps · 4 goals Mouhamadou Habib Mbacke Diarra · MF · Sunderland AFC (ENG) · 24 caps · 6 goals Ismaila Pathe Ciss · MF · Rayo Vallecano (ESP) · 35 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 8 / MF: 7 / FW: 8 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
IRQ · FIFA World Cup 2026 squad lists
Iraq
26 squad players connected; availability: no verified injury feed connected.
Key players4
Likely XI candidates11/11
Injuries / suspensionssource pending
| Key players | Aymen Hussein Ghadhban Ghadhban · FW · Al Karma SC (IRQ) · 97 caps · 34 goals Mohanad Ali Kadhim Al-shammari · FW · Dibba FC (UAE) · 73 caps · 26 goals Jalal Hasan Hachim Hachim · GK · Al Zawra'a SC (IRQ) · 106 caps · 0 goals Ibrahim Bayesh Kamil Al-kaabawi · MF · Al Dhafra SCC (UAE) · 79 caps · 8 goals |
|---|---|
| Likely XI candidates | Jalal Hasan Hachim Hachim · GK · Al Zawra'a SC (IRQ) · 106 caps · 0 goals Rebin Ghareeb Solaka Adhamat · DF · Port FC (THA) · 58 caps · 1 goals Munaf Younus Hashim Al-tekreeti · DF · Al Shorta SC (IRQ) · 35 caps · 1 goals Merchas Ghazi Salih Salih · DF · FC Viktoria Plzeň (CZE) · 34 caps · 1 goals Zaid Tahseen Abd Zaid Hantoosh · DF · Pakhtakor Tashkent FK (UZB) · 30 caps · 1 goals Ibrahim Bayesh Kamil Al-kaabawi · MF · Al Dhafra SCC (UAE) · 79 caps · 8 goals Amir Fouad Aboud Al-ammari · MF · KS Cracovia (POL) · 54 caps · 3 goals Youssef Wali Faeq Amyn · MF · AEK Larnaca FC (CYP) · 28 caps · 2 goals Aymen Hussein Ghadhban Ghadhban · FW · Al Karma SC (IRQ) · 97 caps · 34 goals Mohanad Ali Kadhim Al-shammari · FW · Dibba FC (UAE) · 73 caps · 26 goals Ali Jasim Elaibi Al-tameemi · FW · Al Najmah SC (KSA) · 38 caps · 2 goals |
| Bench depth | Ali Ibrahim Karim Alzubaidi · FW · Luton Town FC (ENG) · 23 caps · 5 goals Zidane Aamar Iqbal Iqbal · MF · FC Utrecht (NED) · 28 caps · 2 goals Hussein Haydar Hussein Ali · DF · Pogoń Szczecin (POL) · 29 caps · 1 goals Frans Dhia Jirjis Haddad · DF · Persib Bandung (IDN) · 29 caps · 0 goals |
| Position depth | GK: 3 / DF: 9 / MF: 7 / FW: 7 |
| Injuries / suspensions | No verified injury or suspension feed is connected; no firm absence claim is shown without a public source. |
Likely XI candidates are a site estimate, not official starting lineups. Entertainment and analysis reference only.
Trust & Transparency
Last updatedJul 19, 2026, 02:03 AM EDT
SourcesSchedule CSV / prediction CSV / public match center
Review typeModel backtest
Risk noteEntertainment reference only
Similar match paths
FAQ
What was the final score for Senegal vs Iraq?5-0
The final score was 5-0, and the result is included in the Group I review.
Did the model hit the result direction?Hit
The pre-match lean was Senegal win, and the result direction hit.
What was the score error?5
The predicted score was 1-1; score error across both teams was 5.
What was the total-goal error?3.08
Actual total goals were 5 versus an expectation of about 1.92, leaving a 3.08 total-goal error.
How does this affect the group?Group I
It affects Group I points, goal difference and qualification pressure for related fixtures.
Is this review betting advice?No
This page is for entertainment, viewing, and analysis reference only. It is not betting advice.
Conclusion
The final score was 5-0. The model lean hit, the projected score was 1-1, score error was 5, and total-goal error was 3.08.
For entertainment reference only. Forecasts, score probabilities, lineup analysis, and AI conclusions are not betting advice.